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Solar storm August 2013 to become intense: Sun’s magnetic field set to FLIP August 9, 2013

Solar storm August 2013 to become intense: Sun’s magnetic field set to FLIP

August 9, 2013 | Filed under: Business | Posted by:

Jeremiah 25:32-33, Good News Translation (GNT)

32 The Lord Almighty says that disaster is coming on one nation after another, and a great storm is gathering at the far ends of the earth.

33 On that day the bodies of those whom the Lord has killed will lie scattered from one end of the earth to the other. No one will mourn for them, and they will not be taken away and buried. They will lie on the ground like piles of manure.

The Sun’s Magnetic Field is about to Flip

Aug. 5, 2013

Science@NASA Headline News — 2013

Something big is happening on the sun. The sun’s global magnetic field is poised to reverse polarity, a sign that Solar Max has arrived.

NASA has said that solar storm August 2013 is set to become intense and Sun’s magnetic field set to FLIP

The sun’s magnetic field is all set to undergo a drastic flip due to a solar event called Solar Maximum that takes place once every 11 years. Though the change in the magnetic field that would remain in place for coming three to four months may not cause extreme changes but might lead to climatic changes, storms and disruption of satellites.

According to the scientists at the Stanford’s Wilcox Solar Observatory who have been studying the sun’s magnetic field since 1976,  during the phase of Solar Maximum, the Sun’s solar activity is at its highest and the subsequent outbursts of energy can be responsible for increase in the amount of cosmic and UV rays coming towards Earth.

“This may also interfere with the radio communications, lead to solar bursts of light – known as flares – and can affect the planet’s temperature,” said the scientists. The flip of the Sun’s magnetic fields that would reverse their polarity would take place before the end of 2013.

“This change will have ripple effects throughout the solar system. The sun’s magnetic field reverses around every 11 years at the peak of each solar cycle. The last peak, or Solar Maximum, was in 2000 and NASA initially predicted the next flip would take place between 2011 and 2012,” added the group.

It may be recalled that a solar storm called Solar Superstorm, or Carrington Event after Richard C Carrington who recorded the event that took place in 1859 caused a number of solar flares flashing all over the Earth. In fact it was due to these flares that the Northern Lights, appearing in the Arctic and Antarctic regions were visible as far south as Rome.

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Big solar storm coming, to disrupt satellites, earth’s atmosphere

, TNN | Aug 8, 2013, 07.23 AM IST

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LONDON: Solar physicists say the Sun’s all important magnetic field is about to undergo a complete flip and the “big event” will result in solar flares, coronal mass ejections and high-speed solar wind. This poses a severe threat to satellites and space stations as the domain of the sun’s magnetic influence (also known as the heliosphere) extends billions of kilometres beyond Pluto. A change in the field’s polarity produces cosmic rays which are a danger to astronauts and space probes. Some researchers say they might affect climate on Earth. “It looks like we’re no more than three to four months away from a complete field reversal,” said solar physicist Todd Hoeksema of Stanford University. “This change will have ripple effects throughout the solar system.” The sun’s magnetic field changes polarity approximately every 11 years. It happens at the peak of each solar cycle as the sun’s inner magnetic dynamo re-organizes itself.As Earth orbits the sun, it dip in and out of its current sheet. Transitions from one side to another can stir up stormy space weather around our planet. Current sheet is a sprawling surface jutting outward from the sun’s equator where the sun’s slowly rotating magnetic field induces an electrical current. During field reversals, the current sheet becomes very wavy.

Cosmic rays are also affected. These are high-energy particles accelerated to nearly light speed by supernova explosions and other violent events in the galaxy.

The current sheet acts as a barrier to cosmic rays, deflecting them as they attempt to penetrate the inner solar system. A wavy, crinkly sheet acts as a better shield against these energetic particles from deep space.

Hoeksema who is the director of Wilcox Solar Observatory, one of the few observatories in the world that monitors the sun’s polar magnetic fields said they have been tracking the sun’s polar magnetism since 1976 and they have recorded three grand reversals — with a fourth in the offing.

The sun goes through cycles of high and low activity that repeats approximately every 11 years. Solar minimum refers to the several Earth years when the number of sunspots is lowest; solar maximum occurs in the years when sunspots are most numerous.

During solar maximum, activity on the sun and the possibility of space weather effects on our terrestrial environment is higher.

NASA maintains a fleet of heliophysics spacecraft to monitor the sun, geospace and the space environment between the sun and the Earth.

The sun regularly bathes Earth and the rest of our solar system in energy in the forms of light and electrically charged particles and magnetic fields. The resulting impacts are called space weather.

The Earth’s magnetosphere is created by our magnetic field and protects us from most of the particles the sun emits. At the Earth’s surface a magnetic storm is seen as a rapid drop in the Earth’s magnetic field strength. This decrease lasts about 6 to 12 hours, after which the magnetic field gradually recovers over a period of several days.

Storm Clouds Over First Solar Are Real

Stock quotes in this article: FSLR, YGE, LDK, GE

NEW YORK (TheStreet) — What a difference a quarter can make. After the latest First Solar (FSLR_) earnings report, short-sellers took a beating as shares doubled in price.

After taking a deep dive into the earnings report, I had zero desire to drink the Kool-Aid and began warning investors they should consider locking in profits.

As I often am, I was early when I wrote this article “Solar’s Short-Squeeze Days Are Numbered.”

It’s hard to judge when logic will regain control over emotion, but if there is a lesson to be learned, it’s that emotion is a sprinter and logic is a marathon runner. It can take time for logic to catch up, but it always does.

I made up for the early-bird article with another more timely warning titled “First Solar May Have Just Signaled It’s Overvalued.”

Although First Solar didn’t display a need for capital injection, the solar company disclosed a shelf offering of almost 10 million shares.

Although it’s not unheard of in the technology space, it’s far more common for pharmaceutical companies to sell shares to shore up working capital. Typically, they do it after FDA approval or another positive catalyst. But First Solar enjoys one of the best income and balance sheets in the space.

Granted, it’s more or less the cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry bin, but the shelf offering seemingly came out of nowhere. Management stated one of the possible uses for the capital injection was to go shopping for acquisitions. Buying other solar companies is somewhat of a head-scratcher because First Solar’s advantage is supposedly its lower cost for a given amount of energy produced.

Why buy plants that produce solar cells at a higher cost than your own, especially if you have to pay a premium? I’m sure there are some unique situations that can provide synergies and growth potential, but production capacity restraints don’t appear to be limiting the revenue. In other words, First Solar knew it should go to the well while the going was good.

First Solar did buy General Electric’s (GE_) intellectual property rights for cadmium telluride solar technology; however, GE received stock instead of cash. GE must hold 1.75 million shares of First Solar for three years. If First Solar buys something significant within the next 12-18 months, I will evaluate it in relation to the capital injection, but until then, I’m sticking with the idea that First Solar sold shares because management thought it could receive more cash than the shares were likely worth.

Unlike last quarter’s guidance report, the Company is reducing 2013 full-year net sales because it expects to sell two system projects after completion, delays in government approvals, higher expected higher operating expenses, and costs related to the above mention shelf offering. In other words, today isn’t nearly as sunny as the day after last quarter’s report.

On a brighter note, First Solar is the one to catch in this space, and it doesn’t appear any of the others have their running shoes on. Yingli Energy Holding’s (YGE_) shares have moved off the bottom, but the company is losing money. LDK Solar (LDK_) is officially on my death watch. LDK is so pathetic that the stock makes Lotto ticket buyers appear to be exemplary stewards of capital allocation.

Bottom line: Expect First Solar to be trading for less than $40 by the end of this week.

August 7th, 2013 | Posted by

What foreign observers forget about post-Morsi Egypt: It’s the economy, stupid

Special to WorldTribune.com

By Gregory R. Copley, Editor, GIS/Defense & Foreign Affairs

Egypt’s military leadership entered August 2013 without any illusions as to the magnitude of the challenges facing the Egyptian Armed Forces, the Egyptian government, and all of Egypt, in the coming months and years.

The decision by the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) to act as the instrument to replace the government of former President Mohammed Morsi with a civilian Interim Administration on July 3, was taken in the full certainty that it would lead to a new age of armed protest and insurgency by supporters of the Ikhwan al-Muslimin (the Muslim Brothers). The SCAF officers all recall when Islamist insurrection led to the assassination of President Anwar El-Sadat in 1981.
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That expected new process of revolt has already begun.

Images of conflict in Egyptian cities dominate the international media, but there are many more dimensions to the transformation than that. Many of these facets focus around the impact of a declining economy, dwindling agricultural production, and exhausted food stocks. These factors would, in any event, have led to a collapse in national cohesion had Morsi stayed in power longer because the Morsi government was, if anything, compounding the causes of these trends of decline.

So, as analyst Yossef Bodansky pointed out, had Morsi stayed in power, he and the Brotherhood would have taken the full brunt of criticism for the total collapse of the economy and food supply. The military leadership was aware of that, too, but felt that it had to act to stave off the collapse as much as possible, even if it took Morsi “off the hook” for the collapse, when it came.

Equally, in understanding the consequences of the action to support the documented demand — the 22-million signature petition organized by the Tamarod movement — by a vast swathe of the Egyptian public for Mr. Morsi’s removal, the Egyptian Armed Forces leadership had considered and planned what it needed to do to hold Egypt together over the coming years.

Some of the key factors considered by the Egyptian SCAF include:

1. The necessity to make decisions, insofar as possible, which might be disapproved by — or incur the wrath of — Washington, even at the risk of a short-term suspension of US financial and military technology aid;

2. The necessity to bring in urgent infusions of cash and food from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE);

3. The necessity to stop further deterioration in relations with Israel and, if possible, to resume income from the sale of gas to Israel;

4. The necessity to stop external support for the Ikhwan from escalating and involving weapons importation, even at the risk of alienating Turkey;

5. The necessity to immediately stop Morsi’s “distraction war” which was being generated by the former government against Ethiopia, and returning dealings on Nile water useage back to the diplomatic track which interim leader Field Marshal Mohammed Hussein Tantawi had begun before Morsi assumed the Presidency;

6. The necessity to build an image of the new Interim government of President Adly Mansour as being secular and pro-business, as well as liberal, to reassure both domestic audiences as well as the international media; and

7. The necessity to continue/resuscitate the pace of foreign direct investment, and ensure ongoing confidence in the use of the SUMED (Suez-Mediterranean) pipeline and the Arab Gas Pipeline (to Israel and Jordan), in order to diversify the economic base, given the virtual total loss of tourism revenues, as well as agricultural exports (cotton, in particular).

Again, these are by no means the sum of concerns for the government. Day-to-day security is critical, and sources at the very highest levels in the Egyptian Ministry of Defense have indicated privately that there will be no compromise or delay in suppressing Islamist militancy, and in ensuring cooperation with allies internationally to ensure that foreign-supported agitation does not gain traction.

Of primary importance will be the initiation of attempts to revive agricultural output and food production, even if it means artificially supporting purchase prices for produce. This would assist in maintaining optimism (or restoring it) in the rural areas which have often been the source of support for the Ikhwan. Agriculture’s revival is also a slow process, but unless begun immediately the challenge of rural unemployment will be multiplied dramatically in the coming year, not only in terms of political unrest, but in terms of the highly-destabilizing tendency for even more rural citizens to migrate to Cairo, where little economic relief can be promised in the short-term.

In this regard. the new government can be assumed to delay or modify the plan of the 2012-13 budget to dramatically reduce the subsidy on consumer petroleum. Some subsidies have already been eliminated, and that would not be reversed, in all likelihood, but future subsidy removal would be done with extreme care over the coming year.

Egypt, with the single act of ending the Morsi “experiment” on which the Obama White House had insisted, has rebuilt optimism in Saudi Arabia, Jordan, the UAE, Israel, Syria, Libya, Morocco, and probably Tunisia. Certainly, there is a sense of relief in Addis Ababa and the Upper Nile riparian states. This, clearly, is a time for Egypt to build new intelligence and diplomatic relationships with all of the states mentioned. The Turkish and Qatar governments, the regional administrations most averse the the change in Cairo, are not in a strong position to act against the new government in Egypt.

The Iranian government, although wary at the example of popular revolt which removed Morsi in Egypt, see the broader framework as now being more favorable to a revived balance of “traditional” powers in the greater Middle East: with Iran and Egypt as the principal cultural poles.

The threat which the new Egyptian government faces is that the Islamist insurrection could take on the shape of the Algerian civil war which ran for a decade at the end of the 20th Century. Indeed, the Islamist-jihadists have threatened such a visitation on Egypt. But in Algeria, the government, with some heavy-handedness, prevailed over the Islamists, and the prospect is that the Egyptian government could also cope with such an insurrection.

Can Egypt, in the meantime, begin to rebuild tourism revenues, as Tunisia began to do after its change of government? It is possibly too early to begin a marketing campaign to achieve this, given that the first step is to ensure calm at locations frequented by tourists. But that process could begin within six to nine months, even though foreign tourists would be seen as an early target for Islamist militants.

In the meantime, the primary task is to ensure that the substantial emergency aid promised by Saudi Arabia and the UAE is managed to best effect in terms of ensuring immediate food supplies and stimulated employment.

The incoming Vice President, Mohamed El Baradei, meanwhile, is hoping to parlay his new position — which he could hardly have expected, having polled so poorly in the 2012 Presidential election race — into a real chance at the Presidency. He has already told his US confidants that “when I am President, I will broaden the implementation of the Camp David Peace Accords with Israel to give greater security to Israel, and I will reduce my links with Iran”. That sounded like a mixed signal, in some respects, but El-Baradei asked a major Washington law firm, which has dealings with Israel, to pass on that message to Jerusalem.

Vice President ElBaradei equally plays on the fact that, absent the restoration of Morsi, he has grudging approval from the Obama White House. This may have given Dr Elbaradei some cause for optimism, but it still remains to be seen whether the Egyptian Supreme Council of the Armed Forces will ever again blindly follow the wishes of the White House, given that so many of the problems Egypt faces today were the result of bad advice — or demands which had undesired outcomes — from Washington to earlier Cairo administrations.

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‪America’s intricate alliance with Egypt, woven over four decades, is standing on the verge of collapse over the failure of the Obama administration to comprehend the revolution that ousted the Muslim Brotherhood from power in Cairo.

In a cascade of mutual recriminations over the past three days, President Mansour and his prime minister, Hazem Biblawi, described two senior American senators, sent as emissaries of President Barak Obama, as “delusional” and “liars.”

The two senators arrived with demands to release all Muslim Brotherhood leaders being held under arrest and to integrate the party into the new revolutionary government. Otherwise, they warned, the Obama administration will cutoff all financial and military aid to Egypt.

Spokesmen for both the presidency and the prime minister immediately took umbrage, joined by an array of press commentators, who accused the two Americans, Senators McCain and Graham, of “manufacturing facts” and of “unwelcome interference in Egypt’s internal affairs.” The flagship Egyptian newspaper, Al Ahram, said the senators engaged in “foolish statements that are unacceptable.”

Following a press conference in which Mr. McCain threatened sanctions, the leader of the Egyptian Popular Current party, Hamdeen Sabahi, who is a co-leader of the ruling National Salvation Front, described Mr. McCain as “a senile old man.”

On the streets, nationalist sentiment was not far behind. The ‘’Rebel Movement’’ is pitching a new drive titled ‘’Say No to US Aid’’, which runs at $ 1.5 billion a year. So grave is the situation that military sources told Reuters on Wednesday that Egypt may call off critical joint military maneuvers code-named Bright Star.

Bright Star, which has been taking place since 1981, comprises the largest such exercises in the region. The exercises have been jointly led by America and Egypt, with participation of Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and sometimes Turkey.

The confrontation emerging between the Obama administration and Egypt represents a startling collapse for a president who, in Mr. Obama, made his first presidential demarche a speech at Cairo reaching out to the Muslim world. Now the confrontation threatens to destroy the foundation of regional, military, intelligence and anti-terror alliances built over decades.

To Egypt the cost is steep. It would lose American investments in education, medical research, and industrial training, as well as access to trade and political-organizational mentoring for a generation of civilian and military professionals. President Putin beckons, but Russia today is not in a position to replace all, or even much, of that.

To America the loss, if the confrontation gets out of hand, would be larger than Egypt’s. It could plunge America into an era like that which obtained between 1952 and 1970, when Gamal Abdel Nasser used Egypt’s clout to fan Arab Nationalism and anti-Americanism across Africa and the Arab world.

Egypt, with 86 million people and a vast system of schools, institutes, and universities hosting not only Egyptians but other Arabs and Africans, is almost imperial, its reach magnified by the fact that all 350 million Arabs speak the same language. Some 8 million Egyptian expatriates work in other Arab countries.

This is why the Arab world swung to support Egypt in this nascent confrontation. Last month alone, in the face of warnings about a cutoff of American aid to Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and the United Arab Emirates rushed to proffer $ 12 billion in various grants, Central Bank deposits, foodstuffs, grain, petroleum products, and construction materials.

All this has implications not only for the United States but also for Israel. With the second most powerful army after Israel, Egypt is a major factor in the search for peace, as is being demonstrated by the second revolutionary government, which, recognizing the danger of the Muslim Brotherhood and other extremist Islamic factions, is moving to isolate Hamas in the Gaza district.

A sense of how Egypt sees things came yesterday from a scion of the fallen Hosni Mubarak old guard, Amr Moussa, who served a decade as Egyptian foreign minister and another as secretary general of the League of Arab States. Addressing via a television interview Senators McCain and Graham he said: “Neither of you are delegated to open the dictionary on our behalf to designate a coup from a revolution. Of course we did choose Morsi and his Muslim Brotherhood companions via the ballot box, but that does not exempt them from consequences of criminal behavior.”

Recalling the Richard Nixon episode, Mr. Moussa noted that ‘’The United States was the first to remove its elected president when he faced lesser charges that those now weighing over the leadership the Muslim Brotherhood.”

Sun on verge of massive flip Written by VOANews on August 9, 2013, Flip of Sun’s Magnetic Field to Trigger Storms Across Globe

Sun on verge of massive flip

Written by on August 9, 2013 in WorldNo comments

Screengrab from ScienceAtNASA YouTube channel

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Our sun is about to make an enormous flip. According to NASA, in about three to four months, the sun’s vast magnetic field will reverse itself in what solar physicist Todd Hoeksema of Stanford University says will “have ripple effects throughout the solar system.”

But not to worry; scientists say this happens about every 11 years and most people may not even notice it.

The periodic switch in magnetic polarity comes at the peak of each solar cycle when “the sun’s inner magnetic dynamo re-organizes itself,” Hoeksema explains. This latest flip will come in the midst of what solar physicists call Solar Cycle 24.

Solar physicist Phil Scherrer, also at Stanford, describes what happens: “The sun’s polar magnetic fields weaken, go to zero, and then emerge again with the opposite polarity. This is a regular part of the solar cycle.”

The effects of the changes extend throughout the sun’s magnetic influence, also known as the heliosphere. The heliosphere extends billions of kilometers beyond Pluto.

On Earth, we may feel the effects of the flip in the form of “stormy space weather,” and possible changes in our own climate.

Here’s a video about the upcoming switch:

Source: VOANews.com

(Screengrab from ScienceAtNASA YouTube channel)

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Sun’s Magnetic Field About To Completely Flip, Bringing Stormy Space Weather To Earth

Huffington Post UK  |  By Posted: 07/08/2013 08:49 BST  |  Updated: 07/08/2013 08:49 BST

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The Sun is about to flip out.

Its magnetic field is set to do a complete 180, changing poles as the nurturer of all life on Earth reaches the halfway point of “solar maximum”.

Should you start digging a shelter in your garden? Well, not quite.

The phenomenon happens around every 11 years as the Sun reaches the peak of its solar cycle.

Physicist Phil Scherrer soothed our terrified minds and said: “The sun’s polar magnetic fields weaken, go to zero, and then emerge again with the opposite polarity.

“This is a regular part of the solar cycle.”

That’s not to say is isn’t a significant event. The sun’s heliosphere – the domain of its magnetic influence – extends far out beyond Pluto in what scientists refer to as a “sheet”.

A flip in the magnetic field causes ripples in this. As the Earth passes in and out of the sheet “stormy space weather” can occur around our planet.

Scherrer and fellow physicists have been monitoring the Sun from Stanford University’s Wilcox Solar Observatory and expect the flip to happen in around three to four months.

He said: “The sun’s north pole has already changed sign, while the south pole is racing to catch up.

“Soon, however, both poles will be reversed, and the second half of Solar Max will be underway.”

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Flip of Sun’s Magnetic Field to Trigger Storms Across Globe [VIDEO]

By : Subscribe to Hannah’s RSS feed | August 7, 2013 9:29 AM GMT

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The Sun's current sheet becomes wavy during a magnetic flip (Nasa)

The Sun’s current sheet becomes wavy during a magnetic flip (Nasa)

The sun’s magnetic field is getting ready to flip over, an event that will have a ripple effect throughout the solar system and produce stormy weather on Earth.

Measurements from Nasa’s observatories show that the sun’s magnetic field is preparing to change polarity – a change that takes place once every 11 years. The last magnetic flip, or Solar Maxim, took place in 2000.

Todd Hoeksema, a solar physicist from Stanford University, said: “It looks like we’re no more than three to four months away from a complete field reversal. This change will have ripple effects throughout the solar system.”

Solar physicist Phil Scherrer, also from Stanford, described what happens: “The sun’s polar magnetic fields weaken, go to zero and then emerge again with the opposite polarity.”

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The flip takes place at the peak of each solar cycle, when the sun’s inner magnetic dynamo re-organises itself. The reverse marks the midpoint of the cycle.

The sun’s magnetic influence extends billions of kilometres beyond Pluto and changes to the field go all the way out to Voyager probes, “on the doorstep of interstellar space”, Nasa said.

Scientists have been tracking the sun’s polar magnetism since 1976. The forthcoming flip will be the fourth recorded since then, but historical weather events may be attributed to a Solar Maxim.

Stormy, cloudy weather

In 1859, a solar storm was recorded and saw solar flares appearing all over earth. It was so strong that the Northern Lights, a natural light display normally only visible in the Arctic and Antarctic regions, could be seen in Rome.

Solar physicians focus their attention on the ‘current sheet’, when speaking about solar field reversals. The current sheet is a surface jutting out from the sun’s equator.

The sun’s rotating magnetic field creates an electrical current, which itself is very small, at around one ten-billionth of an amp per square metre. However, there is a lot of current, and it flows through a region 10,000km thick and billions of kilometres wide.

During magnetic field reversals, the current sheet becomes wavy and as Earth orbits the sun, it dips in and out of the current sheet, resulting in stormy weather across the planet.

Cosmic rays will also be affected, creating a danger to astronauts and space probes – cosmic rays are high-energy particles accelerated to almost light speed by supernova explosions and other violent events.

Researchers believe these cosmic rays may also affect the cloudiness and climate of Earth.

Scherrer said: “The sun’s north pole has already changed sign, while the south pole is racing to catch up. Soon, however, both poles will be reversed, and the second half of solar max will be underway.”

To report problems or to leave feedback about this article, e-mail: h.osborne@ibtimes.co.uk
To contact the editor, e-mail: editor@ibtimes.co.uk

Sinkhole in Kansas, overnight chasm. This is scary. o.k.

Kansas Sinkhole Expands: Residents Call Giant, Overnight Chasm In Wallace County ‘A God Thing’

on August 05 2013 12:25 PM

A massive sinkhole that opened up overnight in Wallace County, Kan., last week, is continuing to expand, confounding residents who call its sudden appearance inexplicable and miraculous. Officials say they have been unable to determine what caused the sinkhole, which currently measures 200 feet wide and 90 feet deep, but they believe it was an act of God.

sinkhole2 Officials warn tourists coming to see the Wallace County, Kan., sinkhole that it is not done expanding.  Facebook/kwchnews

According to KWCH 12, the hole opened up several nights ago in Wallace County, a rural area in western Kansas about 10 miles north of Sharon Springs. Resident Dalton Hoss told the news station that he awoke the next morning and received a phone call from his brother, telling him that a sinkhole had swallowed up a large portion of his pasture.

“My brother found it,” Hoss said. “He called me up and his voice was quaking and he said, ‘You’ll never believe what I just saw.’”

The natural phenomenon has caused a stir throughout the town of roughly 1,500, drawing daily visitors who stop by the pit to ogle and take photographs. Some intrepid tourists have even climbed down into the bottom to get a better look.

sinkhole1 Wallace County residents believe a sinkhole that appeared overnight was an act of God.  Facebook/KWCH News

“I’d seen pictures and I knew it was deep, but I didn’t think it was this deep,” Gavin Mote, a graduate of Wallace County High, said. “You get out here and you get a whole different perspective on how deep it is.”

Although it has steadily become a local tourist attraction, officials warn that the sinkhole likely hasn’t finished expanding. Deep cracks have appeared around the periphery, prompting concern that it may swallow nearby buildings.

sinkhole3 Wallace County residents believe a sinkhole that appeared overnight was an act of God.  Facebook/KWCH News

Sinkholes can occur naturally or as a result of pollution, as in the recent case of a 15-acre-wide sinkhole that appeared in southern Louisiana, likely due to a collapsed salt dome. They are most prevalent in areas with karst terrain, a term geologists use for land with underlying soluble rocks or groundwater, like Florida. According to the U.S. Geological Survey, about 20 percent of the United States’ topography is predisposed to sinkholes.

But while residents and officials continue to investigate the hole’s source, some in town are convinced that it defies all logical explanation.

“Man had nothing to do with this,” Wallace County Sheriff Larry Townsend said. “This is a God thing. There’s no oil well around here, there are no irrigation wells anywhere near. This is something that just happened.”

Far from Wallace County on Monday, another sinkhole appeared: CTV reported that a sinkhole had opened up on a busy street in downtown Montreal, swallowing a bulldozer with a person inside.

Dissolving salt likely cause of Wallace sinkhole

8/8/2013

By MIKE CORN

mcorn@dailynews.net

WALLACE — Without conducting hugely expensive tests, the cause of the massive sinkhole north of here probably never will be known with absolute certainty.

But University of Kansas geologist Lynn Watney is adamant it’s likely the result of dissolution of salt nearly 2,000 feet below ground that’s behind it all, according to Rex Buchanan, interim director of the Kansas Geological Survey.

And he’s not convinced there would be much to gain by conducting either extensive drilling or seismic testing to make that determination.

That dovetails what Jerome “Pete” Bussen, a Wallace resident who is well-known for collecting fossils in the area, suspects is behind the recent dramatic collapse.

He said water works its way down to the salt formation and washes it away, ultimately leading to the collapse.

The suspect salt formation is known as the Blaine, Buchanan said.

It’s not the first sinkhole that’s developed in Wallace County, or in the pasture where the latest one developed and attracted attention from across the nation. There are three others in the pasture, one of which holds water.

But it’s not something that’s likely to prompt spending big amounts of money to find the exact cause, considering it doesn’t threaten any homes or roads in the area.

Buchanan didn’t even see much point to driving to Wallace County from Garden City, where he was when he first started hearing about the collapse.

Besides, he’s not sure what he’d do once he got there.

He said he certainly wouldn’t approach the edges of the sinkhole because of the threat of further cave-ins as the soil continues breaking off.

“I wouldn’t get close to it, no,” he said.

He wasn’t at all surprised when he started receiving word of the collapse, estimated between 200 and 300 feet across and nearly 90 feet deep.

The hole is circled by a series of cracks, some of which are inches wide and more than 4 feet deep, a sure sign more of the loess soil could break away.

“When I heard this was in Wallace County, I said that makes sense to me,” Buchanan said Wednesday.

The reason for that is simple enough.

“Because they’ve had them before,” he said.

In addition to the sinkholes in the pasture adjacent to the latest collapse, there’s also Old Maid’s Pool northwest of Sharon Springs and Smoky Basin Cave-in east of Sharon Springs.

“There are some places in the state where if you had one, I’d scratch my head,” he said.

Wallace County isn’t one of those places.

There isn’t a rush by the KGS to send anyone out to the sinkhole, although Buchanan said they might have had someone in the area Wednesday. It’s unlikely he’ll do anything more than take a few photos.

The only way to know for sure what caused the collapse, he said, would be to either drill down to the salt or conduct seismic tests.

Both would cost “lots of money,” Buchanan said.

“At the end of the day, whether it’s the Blaine or it’s something else, it’s still the same,” he said of the sinkhole being there.

What he is certain about is the danger it can pose to people who venture close to the edge or even walk down to the bottom.

Those people, he thinks, are in danger because the steep-sided loess soils can slough off at any time.

“Unless you’ve got a good reason to be out there, you ought to stay away,” Buchanan said.

And he can’t think of a good reason, unless, of course, it was his pasture.

He’s not even sure it deserves all the attention it’s received.

“Is it a big deal geologically?” he asked. “No, probably not. It’s something we’ve seen before and expect to see again.”

August 7, 2013

Video: Western Kansas Sinkhole Continues to Deepen

A massive sinkhole in western Kansas continues to grow. The sinkhole recently developed in Wallace County, near the town of Sharon Springs.

By the time it was noticed by a rancher, the hole was more than 200 feet across and 90 feet deep.

The sinkhole has taken many by surprise, though not Rex Buchanan, who heads the Kansas Geological Survey.

“Certainly, the location isn’t surprising. Wallace County has had sort of a history of producing these things, and I’ve been to some of those locations, so in that sense it’s not surprising,” Buchanan said. “This is a pretty good-sized one, but the other ones out there are pretty good-sized as well. This doesn’t occur every day, but it’s certainly not out of the ordinary.”

Buchanan said sinkholes like this one are created by the dissolution of underlying rock deposits, such as chalk or salt.

Some have suggested this sinkhole was caused by the removal of too much water from the Ogallala Aquifer, or perhaps the collapse of an old oil well. Buchanan says that’s not the case because the aquifer is not present in that location, nor are there any oil wells in the immediate area.

Giant Sinkhole Draws Visitors to Western Kansas

August 8, 2013

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The sinkhole in a Kansas field estimated to be 90 feet deep and 200-300 feet wide. (Wallace County Sheriff’s Department)

SHARON SPRINGS, Kan. — A sinkhole estimated to be about 90 feet deep in western Kansas is drawing so many onlookers that the landowner is pleading for people to stay away.

The sinkhole, which is 200 to 300 feet wide, was discovered July 31 in a pasture several miles north of Sharon Springs on land owned by 82-year-old Margaret Hoss and her family.

It occurred naturally and does not appear to be the result of groundwater depletion or oil or gas drilling, said Rex Buchanan, interim director of the Kansas Geological Survey.

After the sinkhole was publicized, people drove to see it, often ignoring signs to stay off the private pasture, which prompted the Hoss family to erect barricades Monday, The Salina Journal reported. Hoss said she is concerned the traffic will damage fragile grass needed for cattle to forage.

“I’d appreciate some privacy. We’re not running a popularity contest,” said Hoss, who said added that state and national media coverage of the sinkhole had made “our life a livin’ hell out here.”

(MORE: Memorable Florida Sinkholes | Bridge Destroyed by Tornado Lures Tourists)

Wallace County Sheriff Larry Townsend said he was concerned the visitors could be endangered if the sinkhole suddenly grows.

“The soil tries to level itself. It’s kind of a dangerous place to be gawking around,” Townsend said.

Sinkholes occur when soil over an open void caves in. The voids are formed when underground water dissolves rock formations, “in this case probably limestone,” Buchanan said.

The hole has a steep face that over time will develop more of a “saucer shape,” Buchanan said. He also advises gawkers not approach the sinkhole.

“The best thing you can do with these things is fence them off and walk away,” Buchanan said. “There’s nothing good about going down in that thing or getting close to it.”

Information from: The Salina (Kan.) Journal, http://www.salina.com

MORE: Sinkholes Wreak Havoc in Cities Around the World

Sun is about to flip

How the Sun’s Corona Gets So Hot

The phenomenon of “solar braiding,” hypothesized 30 years ago, has now been validated by images from an orbital telescope.

By Jay R. Thompson|Thursday, August 08, 2013
RELATED TAGS: THE SUN
solar-braiding
The High-Resolution Coronal Imager (Hi-C) captured a range of solar activity, including the first observations of “solar braiding.”
NASA

The solar corona, our sun’s energetic atmosphere, has long baffled scientists who don’t understand how it gets all that energy. “We call it the coronal heating problem,” says Jonathan Cirtain, an astrophysicist at NASA’s Marshall Flight Center in Huntsville, Ala. “Why is the surface of the sun 6,000 Kelvin while the corona is 7 million Kelvin?” Cirtain and a team of researchers have helped solve the mystery using the highest-resolution images ever taken of the corona.

In July 2012, the researchers launched a telescope less than 10 inches in diameter — dubbed the High-Resolution Coronal Imager, or Hi-C — 174 miles above Earth. The Hi-C spent only five minutes observing the sun before parachuting back to White Sands Missile Range in New Mexico, but it yielded remarkable results. The team captured images of “solar braiding,” the transfer of energy from the sun’s magnetic fields to the corona, theorized in 1983 but never observed.

Astronomers have long seen loops of magnetic field lines extend from within the sun out into the corona. These get twisted and tangled and release energy into the corona while unraveling. Braiding is a similar, but far more complex, process. “It apparently involves a lot more magnetic field lines,” Cirtain says. Plus, those field lines break, reconnect and interweave, he says.

Solar braiding is also known as “Parker Braiding” after Eugene Parker, the astrophysicist credited with weaving the theory together, Cirtain says. Parker, 86 and retired, says it’s gratifying that his 30-year-old theory has finally been observed. “I always hoped the resolution would creep up on this thing,” Parker says. He adds that the new study may help researchers understand not just our sun, but other stars.

[This article originally appeared in print as “Understanding the Sun’s Energy."] 

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NASA: Sun Getting Ready For A ‘Field Flip’

by

August 08, 201312:44 PM

Our nearest star is about to pull a once-in-11-years move by swapping its north and south magnetic poles.

The sun’s polarity switch is a natural part of “solar max” — the period of peak activity during what averages out to be roughly an 11-year cycle. According to NASA, this year will mark the fourth time since 1976 that scientists have observed the 180-degree pole flip.

“It looks like we’re no more than 3 to 4 months away from a complete field reversal,” solar physicist Todd Hoeksema of Stanford University says on . “This change will have ripple effects throughout the solar system.”

The reversal marks the midway point of solar max, but it’s a gradual process, says Phil Scherrer, another Stanford-based solar physicist.

“The sun’s polar magnetic fields weaken, go to zero and then emerge again with the opposite polarity,” he says.

While those ripple effects will go largely unnoticed on Earth, they will affect the size and shape of the undulating magnetic envelope that surrounds the solar system out to a boundary with interstellar space known as the heliopause. (The , launched in 1977, are .)

Just before the switch, the magnetic field becomes very wavy, and as the Earth passes through it, it’s likely to “stir up stormy space weather around our planet,” NASA says.

“The sun’s north pole has already changed sign, while the south pole is racing to catch up,” Scherrer writes. “Soon, however, both poles will be reversed, and the second half of Solar Max will be underway.”

Sun’s magnetic field to reverse completely – NASA

The sun flipping its magnetic field occurs around once every 11 years. Picture: Complimentary

The sun flipping its magnetic field occurs around once every 11 years. Picture: Complimentary

  • by EMMA BOLAND

THE SUN’S magnetic field is set to reverse completely some time in the next few months, NASA has revealed.

The polarity of the vast magnetic field surrounding our nearest star is going to flip in no more than three to four months, according to measurements from NASA observatories.

This massive event will cause ripples throughout the solar system, being felt even by the Voyager probes out in the extremes of our solar system. The ‘heliosphere’, the region where the sun’s magnetic influence can be felt, extends billions of kilometres beyond Pluto.

Closer to home, the change will whip up extreme space weather around Earth, which could cause disruptions to satellite and radio communications. The changes could also alter the Earth’s climate by changing the amount of cosmic rays that arrive in our atmosphere, thought by some scientists to affect cloudiness.

This 180 degree flip is part of a natural cycle, and happens approximately every 11 years. The upcoming flip will be the mid-point of what scientists call ‘Solar Cycle 24’. During the reversal the magnetic field weakens and becomes more variable, before the north and south poles swap.

“The sun’s north pole has already changed sign, while the south pole is racing to catch up,” said Phil Scherrer, solar physicist at Stanford University, California. “Soon, however, both poles will be reversed, and the second half of [the] solar max will be underway.”

Since measurements began in 1976, three of these grand reversals have been recorded using instruments called ‘magnetograms’, based at the University of Stanford’s Wilcox Solar Observatory.

The observatory is one of the only places in the world which monitors the magnetic fields at the sun’s poles, and will continue to do so until the reversal occurs.

Sun’s magnetic field “is about to flip”, warns NASA

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The whole of the sun’s magnetic field is about to “flip”, according to NASA – with warning signs being spotted by observatories around the world this year.

This “flip” happens every 11 years, and coincides with the greatest solar activity in the “cycles” of the sun, known as “Solar Maximum” – with sunspots and “coronal mass ejections” on the surface of the sun.

“It looks like we’re no more than 3 to 4 months away from a complete field reversal,” says solar physicist Todd Hoeksema of Stanford University. “This change will have ripple effects throughout the solar system.”

The effects are so powerful they will be felt beyond Pluto – and may affect phenomena such as cosmic rays, which some believe can alter the climate on Earth.

Scientists have recorded these “flips” for decades, but the process is still not fully understood. This particular “flip” has already puzzled scientists – with one magnetic pole of the sun appearing to flip “too early” last year.

[Related: First lab-grown burger “tastes like cake"]

“Right now, there’s an imbalance between the north and the south poles,” Jonathan Cirtain, a space scientist at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center said last year. “The north is already in transition, well ahead of the south pole, and we don’t understand why.”

The flips, though, are regular. The sun’s magnetic field changes polarity roughly every 11 years – caused by the magnetic dynamo inside the sun reorganising itself.

Magnetograms at Stanford’s Wilcox Solar Observatory – one of the few observatories that track the sun’s magnetic fields – have been tracking the sun’s polar magnetism since 1976, and they have recorded three grand reversals, with a fourth in the offing.

Solar physicist Phil Scherrer, also at Stanford, describes what happens: “The sun’s polar magnetic fields weaken, go to zero, and then emerge again with the opposite polarity. This is a regular part of the solar cycle.”

The sun’s magnetic influence (also known as the “heliosphere”) extends billions of kilometers beyond Pluto – changes to the field’s polarity ripple all the way out to NASA’s Voyager probes, on the doorstep of interstellar space.

When solar physicists talk about solar field reversals, their conversation often centers on the “current sheet.”

The current sheet is a sprawling surface jutting outward from the sun’s equator where the sun’s slowly-rotating magnetic field induces an electrical current.

During field reversals, the current sheet becomes very wavy – Scherrer likens the undulations to the seams on a baseball.  As Earth orbits the sun, we dip in and out of the current sheet. Transitions from one side to another can stir up stormy space weather around our planet.

Cosmic rays are also affected. These are high-energy particles accelerated to nearly light speed by supernova explosions and other violent events in the galaxy.

Cosmic rays are a danger to astronauts and space probes, and some researchers say they might affect the cloudiness and climate of Earth.

The current sheet acts as a barrier to cosmic rays, deflecting them as they attempt to penetrate the inner solar system. A wavy, crinkly sheet acts as a better shield against these energetic particles from deep space.

As the field reversal approaches, data from Wilcox show that the sun’s two hemispheres are out of synch.

“The sun’s north pole has already changed sign, while the south pole is racing to catch up,” says Scherrer. “Soon, however, both poles will be reversed, and the second half of Solar Max will be underway.”

Sun’s polarity swap not worrying Air Force Space Command

By Tom Roeder Published: August 8, 2013 | 6:50 pm • 0

The earth will be lashed with energy from a change in the sun’s polarity in the coming weeks, but officials at Air Force Space Command say they’re ready for it.

It comes as the a sun’s magnetic field is set to reverse, something that happens about once every 11years. The change is frequently accompanied by severe solar storms, which can fry electrical circuits, overpower radio signals and turn satellites into space junk.

Brig. Gen. David Buck, operations director for Space Command at Peterson Air Force Base said the military’s satellites can weather the storm.

“It messes with the environment (in space) more than it messes with our satellites,” Buck said.

The sun is constantly showering the earth with energy. When its magnetic field changes, electrical fields coming off the sun form a wave-like pattern that lashes the earth erratically.

“We’re in the middle of it,” said Bob Rutledge, operations director of the National Weather Service’s Space Weather Prediction Center in Boulder. “It’s something that plays out over months or years.”

Rutledge said the sun has remained relatively calm for the past year.

“We’ve had a quiet solar maximum,” he said, referring to the cycle of solar weather that reaches its peak at solar maximum.

The polarity shift in the sun reverses its magnetic field, like flipping a magnet on the refrigerator.

“It happens at the peak of each solar cycle as the sun’s inner magnetic dynamo re-organizes itself,” NASA said in a news release. “The coming reversal will mark the midpoint of Solar Cycle 24.”

Space Command’s satellites are “hardened” to deal with radiation and solar storms. That means that their computer chips are protected against power surges and other impacts of getting zapped with waves of energy.

Buck said that doesn’t mean that space weather doesn’t cause headaches. In some cases, satellites can be briefly knocked offline if a power surge causes them to reboot.

“Our satellites are designed to fight through it,” Buck said.

In solar flares, part of the sun’s energy is released as radio waves, which can interfere with satellite signals.

Buck said planning helps ground controllers deal with that. Watching space weather allows ground controllers to send signals to their satellites before the storm hits, and lets them known when the storms will pass.

The sun’s weekend weather forecast included just a 1 percent chance of severe storms that could impact earth, and temperatures of 10 million degrees on its surface.

Sun’s Magnetic Field Flip Won’t Doom Earth, Scientists Say

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Sun's Magnetic Field Flip Won't Doom Earth, Scientists Say

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This stunning space wallpaper shows the view of the sun from the SWAP (Sun Watcher using Active Pixel …

We have nothing to fear from the big change that is about to occur on the sun, researchers stress.

The sun’s magnetic field is set to reverse its polarity in the next few months. But the shift won’t spark an increase in powerful solar storms or other events that could have a damaging effect on Earth and its inhabitants, researchers say.

“The world will not end tomorrow,” Phil Scherrer, a solar physicist at Stanford University, told SPACE.com. [Solar Magnetic Field Will Soon Flip (Video)]

This polarity flip is perfectly normal solar behavior, occurring every 11 years at the peak of our star’s activity cycle. But the field reversal doesn’t drive the increase in solar flares and eruptions of superheated plasma, called coronal mass ejections, that is observed around solar max.

“It’s more of an indicator than a causation kind of thing,” said solar physicist Todd Hoeksema, director of Stanford’s Wilcox Observatory.

From a human perspective, the effects of the field shift will likely be slight and primarily beneficial. For example, the polarity reversal will cause the “current sheet” — an enormous surface extending out from the solar equator on which the sun’s rotating magnetic field has induced an electric current — to become much wavier.

This crinkled current sheet will provide a better barrier against galactic cosmic rays, high-energy particles that are accelerated to nearly the speed of light by faraway star explosions. Galactic cosmic rays can damage spacecraft and hurt orbiting astronauts, who don’t enjoy the protection of Earth’s thick atmosphere.

A drop in galactic cosmic ray levels could also have a subtle impact on weather here on Earth, researchers say.

“One of the things that helps clouds form and lightning to flash is cosmic-ray ionization of things in the Earth’s atmosphere,” Hoeksema told SPACE.com. “So when the cosmic-ray intensity is lower, it means you have fewer places where lightning will occur, and so the storms will probably be a little less intense.”

He added, however, that “it’s pretty much a speculative endeavor at this point, trying to link the cosmic rays to any real [weather] effect.”

During the reversal, the sun’s polar magnetic fields will weaken all the way down to zero, then bounce back with the opposite polarity. Researchers will keep a keen eye on just how strong this recovery is over the next two years or so.

“This field seems to be a good indicator of what the next solar cycle is going to do,” said Dean Pesnell of NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md., project scientist for the space agency’s Solar Dynamics Observatory spacecraft. “If it quickly goes to a high value, then that tells us the next cycle will be high.”

The sun has been quiet during its current 11-year activity cycle, which is known as Solar Cycle 24. So it would be particularly interesting to see a strong field emerge after the impending flip, Pesnell said.

“We’ve had several of these solar minimums, and each time the polar field has been weaker. And each time, the next cycle has been a little bit weaker,” he told SPACE.com. “So it would be nice to see one where the polar field strength was higher, and the next cycle was higher as well.”

Follow Mike Wall on Twitter @michaeldwall and Google+. Follow us @Spacedotcom, Facebook or Google+. Originally published on SPACE.com.

Analysis: Egypt has all the ingredients for an insurgency

Analysis: Egypt has all the ingredients for an insurgency

about an hour ago

Nobel Peace Prize Laureate Tawakkol Karman, who’s been vocal on Egypt since Morsi was removed from power, has written for The Guardian about her personal experience of changing her mind.

“Clearly, the leaders of the military takeover have something to conceal from the watchful eyes of the world,” she writes. “That explains why I was recently refused entry into Egypt. I now feel I have a responsibility to warn the world of the fact that a fully fledged despotic regime is seeking to reinforce its foundations in the country. The 25 January revolution guaranteed freedom of expression, of assembly and organisation. All these freedoms have been crushed in the aftermath of the coup.”

Isaiah 19:1-4, Good News Translation, God Will Punish Egypt

19 This is a message about Egypt.

The Lord is coming to Egypt, riding swiftly on a cloud. The Egyptian idols tremble before him, and the people of Egypt lose their courage. The Lord says, “I will stir up civil war in Egypt and turn brother against brother and neighbor against neighbor. Rival cities will fight each other, and rival kings will struggle for power. I am going to frustrate the plans of the Egyptians and destroy their morale. They will ask their idols to help them, and they will go and consult mediums and ask the spirits of the dead for advice. I will hand the Egyptians over to a tyrant, to a cruel king who will rule them. I, the Lord Almighty, have spoken.”

In July, she retracted earlier support for protests in Egypt against Morsi.

Posted on August 9, 2013 by

Tags egypt, tawakkol karman

Egypt about 5 hours ago

Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei warned on Friday that the political crisis in Egypt after the army ousted Islamist president Mohamed Morsi could spark a civil war.

“We are worried about what is happening in Egypt,” he said in Eid al-Fitr remarks broadcast on state television.

“Speculation of a civil war is gaining momentum on a daily basis,” Khamenei said. “This would be a disaster with dire consequences.”

“What will stop the civil war if, God forbid, it happens?” he asked.

Khamenei’s comments came a day after Egypt’s interim presidency said Western and Arab initiatives to resolve its political deadlock had failed.

More than 250 people have been killed since the ouster of president Mohamed Morsi by the military on July 3, a coup which the Islamic republic condemned.

Khamenei also warned against foreign interference in Egypt, saying: ”Nothing but damage for the Egyptian people will come from the interference of foreign powers.”

Iran’s supreme leader strongly condemned political violence in Egypt, and called on its religious and political parties to learn from the lessons of Syria.

[AFP]

about an hour ago

Turkish President Abdullah Gul appealed to Egypt’s army-installed government on Friday to return the country swiftly to democratic rule and allow all parties to take part in the political process.

In an article published in the Financial Times, Gul urged the Egyptian authorities to release the detained former president, Islamist Mohamed Mursi, who was overthrown by the army last month, but stopped short of calling for his return to office.

The Turkish head of state, a member of the moderate Islamist AK party, also called on all sides to act with restraint and avoid violence.

“The Egyptian people have almost been split into two camps, each of which is rallying dangerously against the other. This situation is worrying and unsustainable,” he wrote.

“Unfortunately, the historic step towards democracy failed in less than two years. The coup that ousted Mohamed Mursi, Egypt’s first democratically elected president, was a clear derailment of the country’s progress.”

[Reuters]

Glenn thrashes Sen. Lindsey Graham’s idiotic comments on Egypt

Friday, Aug 9, 2013 at 2:46 AM +0800

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Glenn’s blood hit the boiling point on radio this morning in reaction to some pretty remarkable audio from Senators John McCain (R-AZ) and Lindsey Graham (R-SC) about the crisis in Egypt. During a visit to Cairo earlier this week, the Senators sat down with CBS News and admitted that the country is “just days or weeks” away from “all out bloodshed.”

“Well, I was at the doctor early this morning because I thought I had a brain aneurysm last night,” Glenn said. “It was in the 5 o’clock hour, happened about 5:20, when Buck Sexton actually played the audio of Lindsey Graham on CBS News reporting on what their fact‑finding mission in Egypt found. Here it is:”

REPORTER: Are you alarmed by what you see happening in Egypt?

GRAHAM: Oh, my God. I didn’t know it was this bad. These folks are just days or weeks from all‑out bloodshed.

Yes, that was a senior United States Senator admitting he had absolutely no idea what was going on in Egypt.

“I can’t take it,” Glenn said disgusted.

“You had no idea, Lindsey,” Pat asked. “Have a television set, do you? “

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Get Glenn Live! On TheBlaze TV

On last night’s Glenn Beck Program, Glenn laid out three things no one is talking about in regards to the Middle East. “And wait until it really slides off,” he said. “There are three things that you need to know about the Middle East today.”

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  1. Egypt could collapse soon
  2. Libya is on the brink
  3. Turkey just gutted its military

“One, Egypt is – many people, including Lindsey Graham say now that – it is days from flying out of complete control,” Glenn explained. “What we’re talking about now is not Civil War. We are talking about massive bloodshed. We’re talking about Syria happening in Egypt.”

This type of conflict would have worldwide implications. Chiefly, Israel would be in immediate danger and the global economy could spiral out of control.

“If Egypt spirals out of control, that means the Gaza Strip is no longer monitored at all,” Glenn said. “Israel would now have massive fighters going in. There’s nobody standing guard against Israel.”

Furthermore, there is the issue of oil. In 2008, oil prices hit $140/barrel and the U.S. economy collapsed. Today, speculation is that oil could hit $300/barrel. “So you know, 80% of the world’s oil goes through Egypt and the Suez Canal… If you shut down the Suez Canal, they are now saying that the price of a barrel of oil could skyrocket,” he explained. “It was 140 where we collapsed. 140. They are saying now that if they close the Suez Canal, if there is massive strife in the Middle East, you are looking at $300 a barrel of oil. It’s not like you’re looking at $10 a gallon gasoline. You’ll be lucky to have gasoline.”

When someone like Sen. Graham, who is often touted for his foreign policy expertise, claims to not “know it was that bad” in Egypt, it’s safe to assume the government is in no way prepared for the worst case scenario.

“That’s what’s just happening in Egypt,” Glenn said. “But if you go west of Egypt, just over the border, you’re smack dab into Libya. Now, Libya, the leader of Libya… [is] saying that they are within a week of collapse themselves because the Muslim Brotherhood and Al Qaeda are fighting, and Islamists are about to take over.”

Both Egypt and Libya on the verge of collapse, but there is another situation of instability, this time in Turkey, that threatens the balance of power in the Mid East region. Turkey was admitted into NATO under the guise that it could never devolve into an Islamic state because of the military’s protection of the Constitution, but now it appears the military has lost that control.

“Do you know what [the prime minister of Turkey] did,” Glenn asked. “He’s arrested and put in prison for life the generals of the military in Turkey. Turkey is about to come undone.”

So what is the solution?

“Here’s the good news. There’s a solution in the Middle East. Because people in the Muslim Brotherhood, and people with Al Qaeda, and the people on the street are all talking about the same solution,” Glenn said. “There’s a way to put the genie back in the bottle. There’s a way to make it all work. And guess what that is: The magic Caliphate.”

Glenn has been mocked and ridiculed for talking about the inevitability of the Caliphate for quite some time, but he had a bold message this morning.

“I haven’t been this angry in quite some time,” Glenn said. “The one thing I don’t ever get right is time… I am wrong on timing, but I am telling you we are about to have an economic impact, the likes of which the globe has never seen. When – not if – when all these chickens come home to roost, you have mass chaos, not just in the Middle East, but it will slide the entire globe into chaos. And that means an economic impact… And then comes the giant reset… If you don’t know history, you’re about to repeat it… We have not progressed. If anything, we have regressed.”

Analysis: Egypt has all the ingredients for an insurgency

Amr Abdallah Dalsh / Reuters

Members of the Muslim Brotherhood and supporters of deposed Egyptian President Mohammed Morsi shout slogans during a protest at Rabaa Adawiya Square, where they are camping, in Nasr City, east of Cairo, on Aug. 7.

By Richard Engel, Correspondent, NBC News

News analysis

CAIRO – A troubling thing happened at the Cairo airport early one morning this week.

Two Egyptian men arrived on a predawn flight from Istanbul. As they were walking through the arrival hall, airport officials say, one of the men threw something in a wastepaper basket before reaching customs control. The action seemed suspicious.

Their passports indicated the men had started their journey in Chechnya, a center of Islamic unrest in the Caucasus. Customs officials inspected their luggage and discovered they were carrying military uniforms, a black “al Qaeda flag,” and computer memory cards containing what seemed to be radical Islamist propaganda. Fishing through the trash, officials also found what they described as counterfeit passports.

The men were taken into custody. Egyptian officials said they believe the men were Islamic extremists traveling to Egypt to wage jihad.

It’s a very bad sign of what may be coming – a time of jihad and death on the Nile.

Middle East analysts and U.S. intelligence officers have told me they worry an insurgency may break out in Egypt. At a minimum, such an uprising could cause sporadic violence against the government, the Egyptian military and foreign visitors. Far worse, it could cause serious instability in this 5,000-year-old civilization.

After the military ousted the Muslim Brotherhood’s elected President Mohammed Morsi earlier this summer, Egypt has joined Syria as the cause du jour for Islamic crusaders. Al Qaeda’s chief Ayman al-Zawahiri, who U.S. officials say ordered his Yemeni captain to carry out a big terrorist attack somewhere in the vast West, has released an audio message urging Islamists to take their struggle to Egypt. Zawahiri, himself an Egyptian, has accused Washington of orchestrating the coup, saying it was paid for with money from Persian Gulf states and carried out with the complicity of Egyptian Christians.

At daily Muslim Brotherhood rallies in Cairo and Alexandria, protesters threaten jihad against the mostly-secular Egyptian military.

The Egyptian military has said it will no longer tolerate the demonstrations, and may move to clear them out by force. The move could be what tips the kettle of Egypt’s brewing insurgency.

This week Sen. John McCain told NBC News he worries Egypt could follow the path of Algeria. In the 1990s, Islamists in Algeria won elections like the Brotherhood did in Egypt. The Algerian military refused to allow the Islamists to take power. A war erupted, killing between 100,000 to 200,000 people, depending on which estimates are to be believed.

Egyptians should hope McCain is wrong, but there are undeniable parallels. An Algeria redux in Egypt is the worst possibility, the nightmare of a total breakdown of order, death on the Nile every night.

Intelligence officials and analysts say that horror show is possible, but expect a somewhat less dire, but still violent and persistent armed insurgency that could last years.

Insurgencies are easy to make and hard to stop. Only a few ingredients need to combine to create an insurgency; like oxygen and fire, they’re very common and mix all too often. The recipe is simply: a legitimate grievance against a state, a state that refuses to compromise, a quorum of angry people, and access to weapons.

Egypt appears to have them all.

Morsi was legitimately elected in 2012. His government’s performance was, by almost any standard, disastrous and didn’t respect the rights of other political groups. He is accused of colluding with Hamas, and of allowing the Sinai Peninsula, where the Bible says Moses handed down laws to his people, to become a lawless safe haven for wild-eyed jihadis and gun runners.

Morsi was, of course, overthrown in what the United States doesn’t want to call a coup. He may have deserved it. Many Egyptians certainly think so. But does the Muslim Brotherhood have a cause to rally around? Yes. The first ingredient is there.

Is the military willing to compromise? It and the government it backs say they want to talk and find a solution. The government has reached out to religious leaders hoping to use them as intermediaries. But the military isn’t willing to step down. Is the state refusing compromise? Yes, but only from the Brotherhood’s perspective.

Insurgencies also need insurgents.  Does the Brotherhood have the numbers? The group claims that the majority of Egyptians support them, since they won the election by a majority. The Brotherhood’s opponents say the group only won the election because other parties weren’t organized and say the Brotherhood alienated many Egyptians during its year in power. But even the Brotherhood’s toughest critics say the group has a base of support that numbers at least in the millions.

For an insurgency, you don’t need millions. Al Qaeda in Yemen, which now has powerful nations shutting its embassies around the globe, only has a core of about 1,000 members.  Does Egypt have the numbers for an insurgency? Yes, it does, and then some.

The last ingredient is weapons.

There was an insurgency under President Hosni Mubarak in the 1990s. Egyptian police and soldiers fought weekly battles with Islamists in the sugarcane fields and thick reeds along the Nile in rural southern villages like Minya, Sohag, Enna and Assiout.  Whenever I traveled to Assiout in the 1990s, I had to inform the Egyptian government of my movements ahead of time. On one trip, I was given a full military escort, including two tracked armored personnel carriers with machine guns. In 1997, Islamic extremists killed nine German tourists in front of the painfully rich Egyptian Museum in Tahrir Square. Two gunmen boarded the bus, started shooting tourists and set the vehicle on fire with Molotov cocktails. I lived down the street at the time and climbed on the smoking bus to see the bodies, still seated, melted to the nylon and plastic foam seats. Two months later, Islamic militants butchered 58 foreign tourists with assault rifles in front of the temple of the Pharaoh Queen Hatshepsut in Luxor, better known to the ancients as Thebes.

There weren’t many weapons in Egypt in the 1990s. Police controls on guns were very strict back them. That is no longer the case in Egypt today. When Libya collapsed after NATO airpower guided Mad Max rebels into Tripoli, Muammar Gadhafi’s weapons were smuggled out like rats off a sinking ship. The weapons went to Mali, Niger, Syria, Egypt and everywhere. Do Egyptians have access to enough arms for an insurgency? Oh, yes.

So what can be done? The easy answer would be to tell the military and the Brotherhood to work out a deal, to compromise and play nice together. But that seems unlikely. The military and the Brotherhood both want power and both feel they deserve to have it; both sides also have passionate supporters encouraging them to hold their ground.

Analysts may be right to worry that death on the Nile may be coming.

Will Sissi seek Egypt’s presidency?

Updated 2013-08-09 04:41:30

CAIRO: He is a savvy operator, people who have worked with him say, a career military officer who methodically campaigned a year ago to become Egypt’s defence minister under its first democratically elected president.

Now Gen. Abdel Fattah al Sissi is faced with a society even more bitterly divided than it was a year ago, when Mohamed Morsi took office as president.

Islamist supporters of Morsi, who was ousted by the military last month, warned on Wednesday that authorities risk provoking “civil war” if they go ahead with plans to break up protest camps, as officials have threatened to do after the collapse of international mediation efforts.

To those Islamists, al Sissi is intent on wiping their faction off the nation’s political map in a quest for absolute power. But a substantially larger share of Egyptians appears to ardently support the general, and many tout his name above all others in the search for a new leader.

Al Sissi, viewed as a pious Muslim, was supposed to be the Muslim Brotherhood’s man running the military. Now his sunglass-clad face is venerated in Cairo’s streets and his pictures pasted on the windows of minibuses and storefronts and clutched by men and women who wave Egyptian flags in Tahrir Square. For the most popular man in Egypt, the question is: Does he want to be the country’s next president?

Al Sissi, 58, has been coy about his plans, saying in an interview with The Washington Post last week that he did not aspire to a higher office but declining to rule out a presidential bid. “When the people love you,” he said, “this is the most important thing for me.”

Egyptian officials say that al Sissi’s commitment to returning the country to civilian-led democracy is genuine and that they do not think that he will run in elections, expected to be held next year.

But in a country where the only leader in six decades not to have a military background was just deposed in a coup, many say they would not be surprised if the charismatic al Sissi decided to throw his high-brimmed officer’s hat into the ring. Some supporters are hailing him as a new Gamal Abdel Nasser, the revered general who led the 1952 coup that overthrew Egypt’s monarchy.

”I think it’s hugely tempting for anyone,” said a high-ranking Western official, referring to the possibility that al Sissi might take his popularity to the polls. The official spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the sensitive issue.

The clamour to bring al Sissi into the presidential palace is ironic, critics here say, given that many of his advocates were bitter foes of the military-backed rule of longtime autocrat Hosni Mubarak, a former air force commander. Public support also quickly soured for the armed-forces council that temporarily ruled after Mubarak was toppled in the 2011 revolution. After Morsi’s inauguration in June 2012, al Sissi was seen as a man who would be willing to work with the Muslim Brotherhood despite decades in which the military had persecuted the organisation. Al Sissi, considered by acquaintances who have talked faith with him to be deeply religious without being dogmatic, was considered a natural ally for Morsi, who was struggling to assert civilian control over the army.Al Sissi was then a fast-rising officer who had taken over as head of military intelligence and was assigned to serve as the armed forces’ liaison to the Brotherhood after the 2011 revolution.

His most prominent turn in the news during the year that Egyptian generals ran the country came when he defended the military after security forces were accused of administering “virginity tests” to female protesters. Rights groups said the practice amounted to state-sanctioned sexual assault.

US and Egyptian observers say al Sissi was quietly positioning himself as a successor to Field Marshal Mohammed Hussein Tantawi, a man about two decades al Sissi’s senior who was then leading the military.”I personally was not surprised at all that he would be picked” as defence minister, said Sameh Seif el-Yazel, a former Egyptian intelligence officer with close ties to the military who said he had spoken frequently to al Sissi since the 2011 revolution. “He’s a man who is straightforward, black and white. There is no gray area in dealing with strategic issues.”

Even before the revolution, al Sissi was among a group of rising leaders in Egypt’s army, participating in a prestigious international programme at the US Army War College in Carlisle, Pa., in the mid-2000s. There he wrote a paper titled “Democracy in the Middle East” and studied civilian-military relations, according to his adviser, Stephen Gerras. The focus was on the war then raging in Iraq, not on Egypt.

”He said this isn’t going to go the way you think,” Gerras said.

”The culture, the influence of religion, the poor quality of education, the impact of state-run media – all of those things make it very difficult to bring a Western form of democracy in the Mideast. And he would say, ‘You guys were kind of naive in Iraq.’” Another professor, Sherifa Zuhur, said the general was reserved but very intelligent.

”He distinguished himself with this quiet and reflective character. But then when he spoke, you could hear his experience,” she said. “The whole discussion of what happens when you suppress democracy was very much part of the discourse.”

Zuhur said al Sissi’s wife wore the niqab, or a face covering.

That piety led many to think that Morsi’s August 2012 appointment of al Sissi as defence minister meant a new era in relations between the military and the civilian Islamist leadership.

But by al Sissi’s own account, their relationship quickly became strained. Even before he became defence minister, he said in The Post interview, he was concerned about Morsi’s attempts to rein in the judiciary, which was packed with appointees from the Mubarak era.

At October celebrations to commemorate the 1973 war with Israel, al Sissi was miffed to have to sit in the stands near Tarek el-Zomor, who was convicted of being complicit in the plot to assassinate Egyptian President Anwar Sadat in 1981, according to a fellow Egyptian officer who spoke to Sissi about the incident.

When Morsi granted himself vastly expanded powers in late November, al Sissi unilaterally called for a meeting of the country’s political leaders—an unusual step for a defence minister in a civilian-led government.

Morsi overruled him, before dialing back his broad assertion of power. By spring, tensions were even higher, as the economy continued to plummet and lines started building up at gas stations.

Former Morsi advisers accuse al Sissi of meeting with opposition leaders behind Morsi’s back. Al Sissi has said that he warned Morsi and US officials that Egypt’s problems were worsening. “Months ago, I told [US officials] there was a very big problem in Egypt. I asked them for their support, for their consultation, for their advice, as they are our strategic partner and allies,” he said.

By arrangement with The Washington Post/Bloomberg News Service

Egypt’s Islamists Turn Violent

The Muslim Brotherhood says that its protests are purely peaceful — but evidence is mounting of torture and weaponry at its Cairo sit-ins.

BY BEL TREW | AUGUST 8, 2013

CAIRO — Ahmed Sabet, 22, has been hospitalized for over a week.

“They stamped on his face,” said his cousin, Aly al-Masry, 20, who told Sabet’s story from his bedside as he drifted in and out of consciousness. “He has three stab wounds, a bullet hole through his leg and stick marks all over his body. There are bruises where he was dragged along the asphalt.”

On the night of July 26, during clashes with supporters of ousted President Mohamed Morsy, Sabet, who is part of the April 6 Youth Movement that opposes the former leader, told Foreign Policy he was a victim of an armed assault by an Islamist mob. He says was dragged by pro-Morsy protesters to a nearby mosque, where a dozen other individuals were being held. There, he says, they tortured him for 14 hours.

The turmoil in Egypt has shown no sign of ending since Morsy’s ouster more than a month ago. And there are ominous signs that the violence is poised to worsen: The Egyptian government ordered the police last week to take “all the necessary measures” to disperse the two major pro-Morsy sit-ins that have been going on for more than a month, raising fears that the security services could once again open fire on Islamist demonstrators, as they have done previously. Meanwhile, President Adly Mansour delivered a speech on Aug. 7 declaring that the period of negotiations with the Muslim Brotherhood “ended today,” and other officials have denounced the Islamist protesters as “terrorists” contending the sit-ins are armed encampments that represent a danger to national security.

There is now mounting evidence that some Brotherhood loyalists within the pro-Morsy sit-ins  — which up until now had remained largely peaceful — are indeed armed, and have committed what some human rights groups describe as torture against their political opponents. In interviews, multiple Egyptians who clashed with or observed the pro-Morsy sit-ins describe being beaten and fired on by Morsy supporters.

Amnesty International released a report on Aug. 2 in which anti-Morsy protesters recount being “captured, beaten, subjected to electric shocks or stabbed” at the Islamists’ two encampments in the Cairo districts of Nasr City and Giza. Ten citizens have reportedly filed torture complaints at local police stations, Amnesty reported. And the violence has even claimed lives: “[W]e were told by the morgue five bodies bearing the marks of torture were found near both camps,” says Mohamed Lofty, an Amnesty researcher.

The body of 32-year-old tuk-tuk driver Amr, whose family requested that his full name not be published, was one of those found bearing signs of torture near a pro-Morsy sit-in. Amr’s corpse was dumped naked and mutilated by a metro station near the Giza encampment on July 20.

“I didn’t know my own brother from the body in the morgue. You could see the burn marks,” said his sister Samah, 35. “He was beaten by sticks everywhere from his head to his feet, and they electrocuted his face and his chest.”

Amr was on his way to the neighborhood near the encampment when he went missing on July 17. Days later, the police tracked Amr’s phone to a man based in the Giza camp, who said he had found the phone in the sit-in and claimed Amr had been accused of spying and stealing by the protesters. Samah believes Amr was tortured to death inside the sit-in.

Lofty explained that individuals like Amr are picked up by the self-appointed sit-in security guards if they are considered to be thieves, spies, or pro-military infiltrators. “People take justice into their hands, they think they are entitled to apply punishments, investigate and use cruelty,” he said. “They apply their own law in the camps.”

Authorities are still investigating the murder.

In addition to the torture allegations, human rights groups also say there is evidence that some Morsy supporters have brought guns to the protests — echoing claims by government officials, including Prime Minister Hezam al-Beblawi, that the protesters are armed and have “broken all the limits of peacefulness.” These reports don’t bode well for likely upcoming efforts to break up the sit-ins: If protesters are armed, Egypt’s poorly trained police force may not be able to shut down the encampments without considerable use of force and possibly further bloodshed.

“We can say with confidence that there are weapons in the Giza sit-in … it is not very well concealed,” says Karim Ennarah, a researcher at the Egyptian Initiative for Personal Rights. He pointed to a pro-Morsy rally in the nearby neighborhood of Bain el-Sarayat on July 2, when pro-Morsy protesters, marching back to the sit-in, opened fire on local residents as clashes erupted.

There is video evidence of how armed Islamists have used violence against their opponents. Ali Bazeed, 27, who works in a photocopying business overlooking the scene of the Bain el-Sarayat fighting, showed Foreign Policy the shop’s CCTV footage from the night of the clashes. In the video, bearded men and youth trash the premises. One man carries a rifle, while others brandish a pistol and a sword. Bazeed claims to know one of the men wielding a knife in the footage: “He’s from here and lives in the sit-in.”

Later in the video, dozens of men from the same group brutally beat a young man caught up in the clashes.

The Muslim Brotherhood says that its protests are purely peaceful — but evidence is mounting of torture and weaponry at its Cairo sit-ins.

BY BEL TREW | AUGUST 8, 2013

The next day, July 3, which saw the military move in to depose Morsy, brought further evidence that the Giza sit-in was armed. Mohamed, a 22-year-old local journalist and human rights worker, reported seeing handmade shotguns, made by citizens in underground workshops, at the site. “They were lying on the floor in the corner of a tent.”

Alaa Abdel-Fattah, a 31-year-old renowned activist and blogger opposed to the Muslim Brotherhood who lives in the area, also recounts being shot at with live ammunition from the direction of the sit-in on July 23.

“We clearly saw a couple of guys with machine guns who were shooting constantly in the air in an Islamist march towards the Giza sit-in a few weeks ago,” Abdel-Fattah says. He describes unidentified shooters from within the area of the encampment “taking pot shots” at anyone believed to be a “thug or a threat” during these fights. Abdel-Fattah himself took one bystander who had been shot through the shoulder, with the bullet entering his chest, to the hospital, but the man later died from his wound.

“I talked to people in the camp who admit that they have weapons, but their version is that they are constantly attacked by thugs supported by the police,” Abdel-Fattah says. However, he says, those with weapons are in the minority. “We’re dealing with a few highly armed individuals — this is not the whole sit-in.”

Meanwhile, reports of attacks on Egyptian journalists at Morsy rallies continue to rise. The Brotherhood has feuded with local media since the military takeover — and most Egyptian news outlets are staunchly critical of the protests, sometimes to a fault. In reaction, demonstrators appear to be taking matters into their own hands.

Cameraman Shehab Eldin Abdel Razeq, 23, who works for ONTV, a television channel widely perceived to be anti-Morsy, was one of the victims of the protesters’ anger. He sustained head injuries after he was beaten with sticks in the Nasr City sit-in on the day of Morsy’s ouster. “They took me to a tent where there were five other people, bound and in a mess,” he said. “I had to pretend that I worked for an American network.”

The Muslim Brotherhood and the “Anti-Coup Coalition,” which has organized the nationwide demonstrations calling for Morsy’s reinstatement, have repeatedly denounced the allegations of violence as a campaign by the authorities to rally public support for a crackdown. And inside the sit-ins themselves, Morsy backers vehemently deny that they are armed.

“We want to talk to the Egyptian media, they’re the ones who turned their backs on us, check my tent, we have nothing like weapons,” says Radwan Ragheb, 32, an electrician living at the Giza sit-in.

Top Brotherhood officials, meanwhile, argue that the charges of violence are fabricated by the media and security apparatus ahead of an impending police crackdown.

“The main purpose is to put the protests in the context of terrorism, so that they have to be dissolved as a threat to national security,” says Amr Darrag, a former minister of international cooperation under Morsy and leading Brotherhood figure.

In response to Amnesty’s report, those organizing the sit-ins invited the international rights group on a tour of the encampments. Lofty, the Amnesty researcher, interviewed the Nasr City sit-in’s security team, which is charged with instigating much of the violence. They admitted to conducting “interrogations” of “thugs” underneath the sit-in’s main stage, but denied the presence of torture cells.

Despite its recent report, Amnesty has also slammed the government’s calls to clear the sit-in as a “recipe for further bloodshed” given the security forces’ routine use of excessive and unwarranted lethal force. Rights groups say the actions of a few individuals do not give the army carte blanche for a violent dispersal of mainly peaceful protests.

However, with new reports that attempts at reconciliation between the interim government and the Brotherhood have been officially declared a failure, the clock is now ticking for the encampments. The Egyptian security forces are likely to use testimonies of violence and torture as a reason that the sit-ins must be cleared. And with the Muslim Brotherhood showing no signs of giving in, it’s becoming increasingly hard to see how Egypt avoids another round of bloodshed.

We’re all in the phase of the prelude of Doomsday, no more 3 or 4 months, Mid-Sept., Bright Star in Egypt. Let’s all besiege Doomsday.

We’re all in the phase of the prelude of Doomsday, no more 3 or 4 months, Mid-Sept., Bright Star in Egypt. Let’s all besiege Doomsday.

  1. Since NASA tells it all, we’re all in the phase of the prelude of Doomsday now, no more 3 or 4 months. Mid-Sept., Bright Star in Egypt.

    InDefence ‏@InDFence 6m @Ikhwanweb “When diplomacy ends, war begins”Adolf Hitler-Egypt presdency says diplomacy phase is over http://aje.me/1cv4s1n  RT-@Malangenis ISAIAH 19, ZEPHANIAH 1, JEREMIAH 25:15~34, of Doomsday. Before ECB takes over Europe and fully conducts in power, solar storms (the energy probably and fairly equivalent to 1 billion hydrogen bombs detonated all at once) is to attack the earth, putting a sudden end to the human civilization. The moment of Doomsday is the outbreak of all-out civil war in Egypt.
    No more Bible prophecies.
    Only Breaking news for the prelude of DOOMSDAY.
    Revelation 6 is for World War 3 and Earth’s Pole Shift.
    The events of ISAIAH 19, JEREMIAH 25:15~34, ZEPHANIAH 1, and REVELATION 6, take place almost at the same time, though just subtly, slightly chronologically.
    01 August 2013 10:08

    Let’s all treat Doomsday as the most invincible and formidable, the top predator.
    All the breaking news of the prelude of Doomsday serve as junior fighters.
    All the junior fighters are gotta launch coordinated attack on the top predator, Doomsday.
    Doomsday and junior fighters are at all-out war, ferociously intensifying towards the pinnacle; the moment of the final showdown has come, for we’re all in the Phase.

  2. News on Syria, Iran, bee colony collapse, mass animal death, sinkhole, volcano, can launch attack on Doomsday, with projectile weapons.

  3. News on SSM is for ambush, launching stealthy attack from behind Doomsday’s back, stabbing his back, bleeding bad into coma.

  4. News on Egypt and NASA are the top 1 & 2 fighters, so that both can take on Doomsday, at face-to-face combat, ferociously.

Pre-Tribulation Rapture, for we’re the modern-aged Noah and Lot. Read between the line, line by line.

Jeremiah 25:15-29

Amplified Bible (AMP)

15 For thus says the Lord, the God of Israel, to me: Take this cup of the wine of wrath from My hand and cause all the nations to whom I send you to drink it.

16 They shall drink and reel to and fro and be crazed because of the sword that I will send among them.

17 Then I [Jeremiah] took the cup from the Lord’s hand and made all the nations drink it to whom the Lord had sent me: [that is,]

18 Jerusalem and the cities of Judah [being most guilty because their privileges were greatest], its kings and princes, to make them a desolation, an astonishment, a hissing, and a curse, as it is to this day;

19 Pharaoh king of Egypt, his servants, his princes, all his people,

20 And all the mixed foreign population; all the kings of the land of Uz; and all the kings of the land of the Philistines and [their cities of] Ashkelon, Gaza, Ekron, and the remnant of Ashdod;

21 Edom, Moab, and the children of Ammon;

22 All the kings of Tyre, all the kings of Sidon, and the kings of the islands and the coastlands across the [Mediterranean] Sea;

23 Dedan, Tema, Buz [neighboring tribes north of Arabia], and all who clip off the corners of their hair and beards;

24 All the kings of Arabia and all the kings of the mixed foreign people who dwell in the desert;

25 All the kings of Zimri, all the kings of Elam (Persia), and all the kings of Media;

26 All the kings of the north, far and near, one after another—and all the kingdoms of the world which are on the face of the earth. And after them the king of Sheshach (Babel or Babylon) shall drink.

27 Then you shall say to them, Thus says the Lord of hosts, the God of Israel: Drink, be drunk, vomit, and fall to rise no more because of the sword which I am sending among you.

28 And if they refuse to take the cup from your hand to drink, then you shall say to them, Thus says the Lord of hosts: You shall surely drink!

29 For behold, I am beginning to work evil in the city which is called by My Name, and shall you go unpunished? You shall not go unpunished, for I am calling for a sword against all the inhabitants of the earth, says the Lord of hosts.

2 Thessalonians 2:7-8. For the mystery of lawlessness (that hidden principle of rebellion against constituted authority) is already at work in the world, [but it is] restrained only until [a]he who restrains is taken out of the way. And then the lawless one (the antichrist) will be revealed and the Lord Jesus will slay him with the breath of His mouth and bring him to an end by His appearing at His coming.

Isaiah 19:1

Amplified Bible (AMP)

19 The mournful, inspired prediction (a burden to be lifted up) concerning Egypt: Behold, the Lord is riding on a swift cloud and comes to Egypt; and the idols of Egypt will tremble at His presence, and the hearts of the Egyptians will melt within them.

Jeremiah 25:30

Amplified Bible (AMP)

30 Therefore prophesy against them all these words and say to them: The Lord shall roar from on high and utter His voice from His holy habitation; He shall roar mightily against His fold and pasture. He shall give a shout like those who tread grapes [in the winepress, but His shout will be] against all the inhabitants of the earth.

1 Thessalonians 4:16-17

Amplified Bible (AMP)

16 For the Lord Himself will descend from heaven with a loud cry of summons, with the shout of an archangel, and with the blast of the trumpet of God. And those who have departed this life in Christ will rise first.

17 Then we, the living ones who remain [on the earth], shall simultaneously be caught up along with [the resurrected dead] in the clouds to meet the Lord in the air; and so always (through the eternity of the eternities) we shall be with the Lord!

1 Corinthians 15:52-54

Amplified Bible (AMP)

52 In a moment, in the twinkling of an eye, at the [sound of the] last trumpet call. For a trumpet will sound, and the dead [in Christ] will be raised imperishable (free and immune from decay), and we shall be changed (transformed).

53 For this perishable [part of us] must put on the imperishable [nature], and this mortal [part of us, this nature that is capable of dying] must put on immortality (freedom from death).

54 And when this perishable puts on the imperishable and this that was capable of dying puts on freedom from death, then shall be fulfilled the Scripture that says, Death is swallowed up (utterly vanquished [a]forever) in and unto victory.

Isaiah 26:19-21

Amplified Bible (AMP)

19 Your dead shall live [O Lord]; the bodies of our dead [saints] shall rise. You who dwell in the dust, awake and sing for joy! For Your dew [O Lord] is a dew of [sparkling] light [heavenly, supernatural dew]; and the earth shall cast forth the dead [to life again; for on the land of the shades of the dead You will let Your dew fall].

20 Come, my people, enter your chambers and shut your doors behind you; hide yourselves for a little while until the [Lord’s] wrath is past.

21 For behold, the Lord is coming out of His place [heaven] to punish the inhabitants of the earth for their iniquity; the earth also will disclose the blood shed upon her and will no longer cover her slain and conceal her guilt.

Zephaniah 2:1-3

Amplified Bible (AMP)

2 Collect your thoughts, yes, unbend yourselves [in submission and see if there is no sense of shame and no consciousness of sin left in you], O shameless nation [not desirous or desired]!

[The time for repentance is speeding by like chaff whirled before the wind!] Therefore consider, before God’s decree brings forth [the curse upon you], before the time [to repent] is gone like the drifting chaff, before the fierce anger of the Lord comes upon you—yes, before the day of the wrath of the Lord comes upon you!

Seek the Lord [inquire for Him, inquire of Him, and require Him as the foremost necessity of your life], all you humble of the land who have acted in compliance with His revealed will and have kept His commandments; seek righteousness, seek humility [inquire for them, require them as vital]. It may be you will be hidden in the day of the Lord’s anger.

Jeremiah 25:31-33

Amplified Bible (AMP)

31 A noise will come even to the ends of the earth, for the Lord has a controversy and an indictment against the nations; He will enter into judgment with all mankind; as for the wicked, He will give them to the sword, says the Lord.

32 Thus says the Lord of hosts: Behold, evil will go forth from nation to nation, and a great whirling tempest will rise from the uttermost parts of the earth.

33 And those slain by the Lord shall be at that day from one end of the earth even to the other end of the earth. They shall not be lamented or gathered or buried; their [dead bodies] shall be dung upon the ground.

Isaiah 19:1-4

Amplified Bible (AMP)

19 The mournful, inspired prediction (a burden to be lifted up) concerning Egypt: Behold, the Lord is riding on a swift cloud and comes to Egypt; and the idols of Egypt will tremble at His presence, and the hearts of the Egyptians will melt within them.

And I will stir up Egyptians against Egyptians, and they will fight, every one against his brother and every one against his neighbor, city against city, kingdom against kingdom.

And the spirit of the Egyptians within them will become exhausted and emptied out and will fail, and I will destroy their counsel and confound their plans; and they will seek counsel from the idols and the sorcerers, and from those having familiar spirits (the mediums) and the wizards.

And I will give over the Egyptians into the hand of a hard and cruel master, and a fierce king will rule over them, says the Lord, the Lord of hosts.

Isaiah 19:11-15

Amplified Bible (AMP)

11 The princes of Zoan [ancient capital of the Pharaohs] are utterly foolish; the counsel of the wisest counselors of Pharaoh has become witless (stupid). How can you say to Pharaoh, I am a son of the wise, a son of ancient kings?

12 Where then are your wise men? Let them tell you now [if they are so wise], and let them make known what the Lord of hosts has purposed against Egypt [if they can].

13 The princes of Zoan have become fools, and the princes of Memphis are confused and deceived; those who are the cornerstones of her tribes have led Egypt astray.

14 The Lord has mingled a spirit of perverseness, error, and confusion within her; [her leaders] have caused Egypt to stagger in all her doings, as a drunken man staggers in his vomit.

15 Neither can any work [done singly or by concerted action] accomplish anything for Egypt, whether by head or tail, palm branch or rush [high or low].

Revelation 16:8-9

Amplified Bible (AMP)

Then the fourth [angel] emptied out his bowl upon the sun, and it was permitted to burn (scorch) humanity with [fierce, glowing] heat (fire).

People were severely burned (scorched) by the fiery heat, and they reviled and blasphemed the name of God, Who has control of these plagues, and they did not repent of their sins [felt no regret, contrition, and compunction for their waywardness, refusing to amend their ways] to give Him glory.

Isaiah 19:5-10

Amplified Bible (AMP)

And the waters shall fail from the Nile, and the river shall be wasted and become dry.

And the rivers shall become foul, the streams and canals of Egypt shall be diminished and dried up, the reeds and the rushes shall wither and rot away.

The meadows by the Nile, by the brink of the Nile, and all the sown fields of the Nile shall become dry, be blown away, and be no more.

The fishermen will lament, and all who cast a hook into the Nile will mourn; and they who spread nets upon the waters will languish.

Moreover, they who work with combed flax and they who weave white [cotton] cloth will be confounded and in despair.

10 [Those who are] the pillars and foundations of Egypt will be crushed, and all those who work for hire or who build dams will be grieved.

Isaiah 19:16-25

Amplified Bible (AMP)

16 In that day will the Egyptians be like women [timid and helpless]; and they will tremble and fear because of the shaking of the hand of the Lord of hosts which He shakes over them.

17 And the land of Judah [allied to Assyria] shall become a terror to the Egyptians; everyone to whom mention of it is made will be afraid and everyone who mentions it—to him will they turn in fear, because of the purpose of the Lord of hosts which He purposes against Egypt.

18 In that day there will be five cities in the land of Egypt that speak the language of [the Hebrews of] Canaan and swear allegiance to the Lord of hosts. One of them will be called the City of the Sun or Destruction.

19 In that day there will be an altar to the Lord in the midst of the land of Egypt, and a pillar to the Lord at its border.

20 And it will be a sign and a witness to the Lord of hosts in the land of Egypt; for they will cry to the Lord because of oppressors, and He will send them a savior, even a mighty one, and he will deliver them.

21 And the Lord will make Himself known to Egypt, and the Egyptians will know (have knowledge of, be acquainted with, give heed to, and cherish) the Lord in that day and will worship with sacrifices of animal and vegetable offerings; they will vow a vow to the Lord and perform it.

22 And the Lord shall smite Egypt, smiting and healing it; and they will return to the Lord, and He will listen to their entreaties and heal them.

23 In that day shall there be a highway out of Egypt to Assyria, and the Assyrian will come into Egypt and the Egyptian into Assyria; and the Egyptians will worship [the Lord] with the Assyrians.

24 In that day Israel shall be the third, with Egypt and with Assyria [in a Messianic league], a blessing in the midst of the earth,

25 Whom the Lord of hosts has blessed, saying, Blessed be Egypt My people and Assyria the work of My hands and Israel My heritage.

Egypt Bright Star – Mid-September – 90000 troops, 11 nations participating, aims at Syria.

InDefence ‏@InDFence 6m @Ikhwanweb “When diplomacy ends, war begins”Adolf Hitler-Egypt presdency says diplomacy phase is over http://aje.me/1cv4s1n  RT-@Malangenis ISAIAH 19, ZEPHANIAH 1, JEREMIAH 25:15~34, of Doomsday. Before ECB takes over Europe and fully conducts in power, solar storms (the energy probably and fairly equivalent to 1 billion hydrogen bombs detonated all at once) is to attack the earth, putting a sudden end to the human civilization. The moment of Doomsday is the outbreak of all-out civil war in Egypt.

No more Bible prophecies.

Only Breaking news for the prelude of DOOMSDAY.

Revelation 6 is for World War 3 and Earth’s Pole Shift.

The events of ISAIAH 19, JEREMIAH 25:15~34, ZEPHANIAH 1, and REVELATION 6, take place almost at the same time, though just subtly, slightly chronologically.

01 August 2013 10:08

Egypt: U.S. to carry on with operation Bright Star in Egypt

By Konye Obaji Ori
Egyptian Military/Photo©ReutersEgyptian Military/Photo©Reuters

The United States plans to hold a major military exercise in Egypt despite the ongoing tension between supporters of ousted President Mohamed Morsi and those of the new rulers.

US Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel told reporters on Wednesday that Operation Bright Star will take place in Egypt in mid-September.

The announcement to continue a joint US-Egypt military exercise came a day after Egypt’s army-backed interim government ordered the police to sweep the streets of pro-Morsi protesters.

Observers say removing protesters from the streets of Cairo by force could set up a potentially bloody conflict with Morsi’s Muslim Brotherhood.

But in the face of such a standoff, the US and Egyptian authorities have refused to suspend their joint military exercise.

“We’re planning on going ahead with it,” Hagel told reporters at a Pentagon news conference.

Operation Bright Star dates back to 1981, and has been a keystone of US-Egyptian military relations.

It began after the Camp David Peace Accords between Egypt and Israel.

The military exercises were canceled in 2011 because of the political turmoil that led to the ouster of Hosni Mubarak.

However, the exercises held every two years will not be cancelled this time around, despite the tensions in Egypt.

The US has also refrained from labelling removal of Morsi as a “coup,” because it would trigger a cut-off in aid and could require the withdrawal of military aids and funds to the Egyptian military, which runs up to $1.3 billion, annually.

Hagel has been in consistent contact with Egyptian army chief General Abdel Fattah al-Sissi since the military ousted Mursi on July 3.

Although relations between both nations have been sustained despite the ousting of Morsi, the US has halted delivery of F-16 fighter jets to the African nation.

Egypt working towards political reconciliation, El-Sisi tells US
Egypt’s army chief assures the US Pentagon that the military-backed caretaker regime in Cairo seeks inclusive political reconciliation
Reuters , Saturday 3 Aug 2013
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Al-Sisi

inister of Defence Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi (Photo: Ahram Online archive)

Egyptian army chief General Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi told the United States Saturday that the new army-backed Egyptian leadership is working towards political reconciliation following the military overthrow of former president Mohamed Morsi 3 July, the Pentagon said Saturday.

El-Sisi made the comments during a telephone conversation with US Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel, in which the Pentagon chief expressed concern about violence in Egypt after the military toppled Islamist Morsi.

Hagel urged El-Sisi to support an inclusive political process, Pentagon spokesman George Little said.

“General El-Sisi assured Secretary Hagel that Egyptian authorities were working towards a process of political reconciliation,” Little said.

“General El-Sisi affirmed to Secretary Hagel that Egypt’s leadership remains committed to the political roadmap leading to elections and the formation of a constitution in Egypt.”

El-Sisi also said he was looking forward to meeting US Deputy Secretary of State William Burns during his visit to Cairo.

The Pentagon’s latest account of the regular conversations between Hagel and El-Sisi came the same day The Washington Post quoted El-Sisi as accusing the Obama administration of failing to properly support Egypt, despite threats of civil war.

“You left the Egyptians. You turned your back on the Egyptians, and they won’t forget that,” El-Sisi was quoted as saying. “Now you want to continue turning your backs on Egyptians?”

In the interview, El-Sisi made it clear he did not ”aspire for authority” — taken to be an allusion to the presidency.

The United States has walked a delicate line on Egypt, opting against labeling Morsi’s removal a “coup” — something that would trigger a cut-off in aid and could alienate Washington from the Egyptian military, which benefits from $1.3 billion in annual US military aid.

But US ties with Egypt’s armed forces have shown signs of strain, including President Barack Obama’s decision last month to halt delivery of four F-16 fighter jets.

Hagel said Wednesday that the United States still plans to hold a major military exercise called Bright Star in Egypt mid-September.

The joint drill, dating back to 1981, is seen as a cornerstone of US-Egyptian military relations and began after the Camp David Accords established peace between Egypt and Israel.

The exercise, held every two years, was cancelled in 2011 because of political turmoil in Egypt following the ouster of longtime autocrat and US ally Hosni Mubarak in a popular revolution.

Read the original article on Theafricareport.com : Egypt: U.S. to carry on with operation Bright Star in Egypt | North Africa
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March 1 2014, January 1 2014, Mid-2014, September 2014, SSM,

ECB Lays Out Timetable for Single Euro-Area Bank Supervision

By Gabi Thesing – Nov 28, 2012 7:44 PM GMT+0800

The European Central Bank said it expects to assume full supervision of all euro-area banks by the start of 2014 and that there is no need to change the law to accommodate its new role.

In a legal opinion on the proposed single supervision mechanism published today, the Frankfurt-based ECB set out a timetable and stressed the need for governments to reach agreement on the plan by the end of the year. It batted away the concerns of Germany’s Bundesbank about the legality of the new supervisor, saying the current European Union treaty provides “the appropriate legal basis for rapidly and effectively conferring specific supervisory tasks upon the ECB.”

European leaders in June agreed to hand the ECB powers to oversee all 6,000 euro-area banks from Jan. 1, 2013, as part of a so-called banking union that would unlock joint recapitalization funds for the region’s ailing lenders. Photographer: Hannelore Foerster/Bloomberg

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European leaders in June agreed to hand the ECB powers to oversee all 6,000 euro-area banks from Jan. 1, 2013, as part of a so-called banking union that would unlock joint recapitalization funds for the region’s ailing lenders. The ECB said today that while the necessary regulation should enter into force on that date, operational implementation would occur gradually over the course of 2013 with “full implementation by Jan. 1, 2014.”

The ECB “stresses the importance” of reaching agreement on the supervision proposals by the end of 2012 to “maintain the envisaged timetable,” it said.

The ECB called for the creation of a single resolution mechanism to complement the single supervisor and “achieve a well-functioning financial market union.” A resolution authority “should be established — or at least there should be clear deadlines for its establishment — when the ECB assumes its supervisory responsibility in full,” it said.

Conflict Concerns

There are concerns that the new role may present a conflict of interest for the ECB and compromise its ability to contain inflation.

The Bundesbank this month questioned the legality of the ECB assuming bank supervision responsibilities, saying it’s not clear the treaty allows for “such a broad transfer of duties” and that granting decision-making rights to a new body within the ECB may breach the law.

“There should be a strict separation between the ECB’s new tasks concerning supervision and its monetary policy tasks assigned by the treaty,” the ECB said in the legal opinion. “The ECB will establish appropriate internal rules and procedures to ensure adequate separation within the functions supporting these tasks.”

A single supervisor is a pre-requisite for the euro area’s rescue fund to start directly aiding troubled banks.

The ECB welcomed the “inclusion of all credit institutions” under the single supervisor, saying this is “important to preserve a level playing field among banks and prevent segmentation in the banking system.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Gabi Thesing in London at gthesing@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Craig Stirling at cstirling1@bloomberg.net

ECB needs 800 more staff to supervise eurozone banks

The European Central Bank (ECB) needs to boost its workforce by more than half in order to fulfil its new role as supervisor of the eurozone’s 6,000 banks.

The euro sign sculpture stands outside the European Central Bank (ECB) headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany

EU finance ministers agreed in December to make the ECB the chief supervisor for banks in the single currency bloc, giving it direct oversight of the eurozone’s 200-or-so largest lenders and the right to intervene in smaller institutions at the first sign of trouble. Photo: Bloomberg News

By Denise Roland

7:02PM GMT 14 Mar 2013

Comments133 Comments

The Frankfurt-based institution needs to add 800 employees to its 1,500-strong workforce by July 2014, according to the Wall Street Journal, citing sources familiar with the matter.

A eurozone official told the Journal the 800 figure – produced internally at the Bank – was just the “starting point” and would likely increase over time, since the ECB will initially only directly supervise around 30 of the area’s largest banks.

EU finance ministers agreed in December to make the ECB chief supervisor for banks in the single currency bloc, giving it direct oversight of the eurozone’s 200-or-so largest lenders and the right to intervene in smaller institutions at the first sign of trouble.

The new regime will be introduced in stages from next year, with the aim of full implementation by March 2014.

Recruiting 800 new staff is “a very ambitious project” if the ECB is to start its supervision work as planned by July next year, a senior eurozone official told the Journal, adding it would be difficult to find enough people with the requisite experience and train them up in time.

The figure is nearly double that given by Vitor Constancio, ECB Vice President, in December, who estimated the Bank would need 500 new recruits to perform its new task, though it is significantly smaller than the 2,000 staff that consultancy Promontory Financial Group said would be needed by 2017. According to the Journal’s source, the larger figure arose from an assumption the ECB would have no support from national regulators.

The ECB’s new supervisory powers – known as the single supervisory mechanism – constitute the first step for complete monetary union in the eurozone, which is planned to include a central fund from which the Bank can bail out struggling banks in the bloc.

2013-06-25 Sabine Lautenschläger Deputy President of the Deutsche Bundesbank and President’s Alternate in the Governing Council of the ECB

From Supervision to Resolution: A German Perspective

However, there are more conditions to be met for an effective and efficient banking union, which concern material supervisory legislation: a centralised European supervisory regime requires common supervisory rules. The adoption of the Capital Requirements Regulation and Capital Requirements Directive, and their probable entry into force on 1 January 2014, have brought us a major step closer to a “single rulebook” for banks and supervisors alike. I would also like to give my warmest thanks and congratulations to the Irish Presidency here, too, for their negotiating and organisational skills in this thorny matter, one on which no fewer than four presidencies had to work very hard at that. Well done!

2 Single Supervisory Mechanism

Where do things now stand with regard to the Single Supervisory Mechanism, the SSM? Where do I stand? A fundamental political consensus has been achieved. A formal resolution in Germany is still pending, however, as this significant transfer of powers requires a two-thirds majority in each of Germany’s two houses of parliament. The required majority was reached in the Bundestag, or lower house, on 14 June 2013; the Bundesrat, or upper house, will vote on 5 July 2013. I trust that everything will go smoothly, and that the Single Supervisory Mechanism Regulation will enter into force in the late summer so that, in the second half of 2014, the European Central Bank (ECB) can start supervising banks in cooperation with national supervisors.

European Commission to give Single Resolution Board power to shut down failing banks
If the legislation passes through the EU Council and the Parliament, then the new mechanism will complement the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM) which, once operational in late 2014, will see the European Central Bank (ECB) directly supervise banks in the euro area and in other Member States which decide to join the Banking Union. The Commission hopes that the reinforced supervisory framework of the SSM, as well as enhanced capital requirements, already adopted, will bolster the safety of banks.

By Nikos Chrysoloras

Speech to be delivered at the Institute of International and European Affairs

A storm is coming: Sun’s poles are set to FLIP within four months and it could lead to bad weather and radio disruption.

A storm is coming: Sun’s poles are set to FLIP within four months and it could lead to bad weather and radio disruption

  • The sun’s magnetic field reverses its polarity once every 11 years or so
  • Flip represents a peak in solar activity where bursts of energy are released
  • These bursts can lead to space storms and changes to Earth’s climate
  • Radio and satellite communications may also be affected

By Victoria Woollaston

PUBLISHED: 14:42 GMT, 6 August 2013 | UPDATED: 14:46 GMT, 6 August 2013

The sun’s magnetic field is expected to flip in the next three to four months and it could lead to changes in our climate, storms and disruption to satellites.

This solar event only happens once every 11 years and signals what physicists call the Solar Maximum – a time when the Sun’s solar activity is at its highest.

During this peak in activity the outbursts of solar energy can increase the amount of cosmic and UV rays coming towards Earth and this can interfere with radio communications, cause solar bursts of light – known as flares – and can affect the planet’s temperature.

Physicists from Stanford University believe the Sun's magnetic fields will flip before the end of the year, reversing their polarity. Physicists from Stanford University believe the Sun’s magnetic fields will flip before the end of the year, reversing their polarity. This will cause an increase in solar energy and could lead to changes in climate and satellite disruption. The reversal happens once every 11 years or so

WHAT IS A SOLAR MAXIMUM?

Solar Maximum peaks and troughsDuring the sun’s cycle the amount of solar activity reaches peaks and troughs known as Solar Maximum and Solar Minimum.

During Solar Maximum the amount of solar activity is at its highest due to a flip, or reversal, of the sun’s magnetic field.

Since 1976 there have been three Solar Maximums and they occur roughly every 11 years, although this can vary from between nine and 14 years.

During a Solar Maximum, large numbers of sunspots appear and the sun’s irradiance – or electromagnetic radiation – output grows by around 0.1 per cent.

This increase in energy can impact global climate and recent studies have shown some correlation with regional weather patterns.

‘It looks like we’re no more than three to four months away from a complete field reversal,’ solar physicist Dr Todd Hoeksema of Stanford University told Nasa Science.

‘This change will have ripple effects throughout the solar system.’

The sun’s magnetic field reverses around every 11 years at the peak of each solar cycle.

The last peak, or Solar Maximum, was in 2000 and Nasa initially predicted the next flip would take place between 2011 and 2012.

Physicists also warned at the time that the next Solar Maximum could be the strongest yet.

Scientists at Stanford’s Wilcox Solar Observatory have been studying the sun’s magnetic field since 1976, during which time they have witnessed three reversals.

In 1859 a solar storm known as the 1859 Solar Superstorm, or Carrington Event after Richard C Carrington who recorded the event, saw numerous solar flares appear all over Earth.

It was so strong that the Northern Lights – a natural light display that appears predominantly in that Arctic and Antarctic regions and is caused by the collision of energetic charged particles in the magnetosphere and solar wind – were said to be have been visible as far south as Rome.

During Solar Maximum the amount of solar activity is at its highest.During Solar Maximum the amount of solar activity is at its highest. A Solar Maximum causes large numbers of sunspots to appear. The Sun’s irradiance – or electromagnetic radiation – output grows by about 0.1 per cent during this time and this can lead to changes in climate and affect radio communications

THE SOLAR STORM OF 1859

In 1859 a solar storm known as the Solar Superstorm, or Carrington Event named after Richard Carrington who recorded it, saw numerous solar flares appear.

From 28 August 28 to 2 September sunspots and solar flares were observed.

British astronomer Carrington observed the largest flare, which caused a major coronal mass ejection – a massive burst of solar wind and magnetic field – to travel directly toward Earth.

It was so strong that the Northern Lights – a natural light display that appears predominantly in that Arctic and Antarctic regions caused by the collision of energetic charged particles in the magnetosphere and solar wind – were said to be have been visible as far south as Rome.

Telegraph services were also disrupted.

Solar flares created by changes in solar activity also release X-rays and UV radiation.

These rays can affect Earth’s ionosphere – a region of the upper atmosphere – and disrupt long-range radio communications.

Dr Phil Scherrer, also a solar physicist at Stanford, explained that during a magnetic field reversal the Sun’s polar magnetic fields lose strength and then stop all together before appearing again the other way around.

The increase of solar bursts have implications for a huge area; its influence extends billions of miles past Pluto.

Changes in the magnetic field affect what’s called the ‘current sheet.’

This sheet juts out for billions of miles from the Sun’s equator where according to Science@Nasa, the star’s slowly-rotating magnetic field includes an electric current.

Although the current of electricity is small, there is a large amount flowing through a region around 10,000km thick.

The heliosphere – a region of space and our solar system that is directly influenced by the Sun and its solar activity – is controlled by this sheet.

When a magnetic field flips it causes the current sheet to become wavy, which Scherrer described to Science@Nasa as being like the seams on a baseball.

As Earth orbits the Sun, the planet dips in and out of the sheet and these transitions can cause stormy space weather.

It can also affect cosmic rays, which are particles that travel almost at light speed, and these rays can be dangerous to astronauts and space stations. Some researchers believe these rays also directly affect how cloudy Earth is.

Wilcox’s Solar Observatory is continuing to monitor the changes and is set to release a statement when the reversal takes place.

VIDEO: Is the Sun’s magnetic field about to flip?

IS the Sun’s magnetic field about to flip?

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Sun’s magnetic field is about to flip: NASA

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The sun flips out

Something big is happening on the sun. The sun’s global magnetic field is about to flip, a sign that Solar Max has arrived. Courtesy: NASA …

Earth

This image provided by NASA, captured by the Solar Dynamics Observatory, shows an M9-class solar flare erupting on the Sun’s north-eastern hemisphere at 03:49 UT, just four days after a previous strong CME that sparked aurora around the world on 22/01/2012. Picture: AFP Source: News Limited

<>

THE sun’s huge magnetic field is about to flip, according to NASA.

The magnetic field is so big it extends billions of kilometres past Pluto, and NASA says its change will have ripple effects across the entire solar system as it changes between the sun’s north and south poles.

Stanford University solar physicist Phil Scherrer said that while earth orbited the sun, it dips in and out of what solar physicists call the “current sheet” – an electrical current jutting out from the sun’s equator.

While the magnetic field is changing polarity, the current sheet becomes wavy, which stirs up stormy space weather.

“The sun’s polar magnetic fields weaken, go to zero, and then emerge again with the opposite polarity,” Professor Scherrer said.

“The sun’s north pole has already changed sign, while the south pole is racing to catch up.”

The phenomenon will mark the middle of Solar Cycle 24.

But don’t worry, it happens about every 11 years, so it’s not going to be the end of the earth.

###

Sun’s magnetic field is about to flip: NASA

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The sun flips out

Something big is happening on the sun. The sun’s global magnetic field is about to flip, a sign that Solar Max has arrived. Courtesy: NASA …

Earth

This image provided by NASA, captured by the Solar Dynamics Observatory, shows an M9-class solar flare erupting on the Sun’s north-eastern hemisphere at 03:49 UT, just four days after a previous strong CME that sparked aurora around the world on 22/01/2012. Picture: AFP

THE sun’s huge magnetic field is about to flip, according to NASA.

The magnetic field is so big it extends billions of kilometres past Pluto, and NASA says its change will have ripple effects across the entire solar system as it changes between the sun’s north and south poles.

Stanford University solar physicist Phil Scherrer said that while earth orbited the sun, it dips in and out of what solar physicists call the “current sheet” – an electrical current jutting out from the sun’s equator.

While the magnetic field is changing polarity, the current sheet becomes wavy, which stirs up stormy space weather.

“The sun’s polar magnetic fields weaken, go to zero, and then emerge again with the opposite polarity,” Professor Scherrer said.

“The sun’s north pole has already changed sign, while the south pole is racing to catch up.”

The phenomenon will mark the middle of Solar Cycle 24.

But don’t worry, it happens about every 11 years, so it’s not going to be the end of the earth.

###

Sun will flip its magnetic field soon, NASA says

Miriam Kramer Space.com

4 hours ago

Sun

NASA
The sun’s magnetic field is gearing up to shift, which happens once every 11 years, according to NASA officials.

The sun is gearing up for a major solar flip, NASA says.

In an event that occurs once every 11 years, the magnetic field of the sun will change its polarity in a matter of months, according new observations by NASA-supported observatories.

The flipping of the sun’s magnetic field marks the peak of the star’s 11-year solar cycle and the halfway point in the sun’s “solar maximum” — the peak of its solar weather cycle. NASA released a new video describing the sun’s magnetic flip on Monday.

“It looks like we’re no more than three to four months away from a complete field reversal,” Todd Hoeksema, the director of Stanford University’s Wilcox Solar Observatory, said in a statement. “This change will have ripple effects throughout the solar system.”

As the field shifts, the “current sheet” — a surface that radiates billions of kilometers outward from the sun’s equator — becomes very wavy, NASA officials said. Earth orbits the sun, dipping in and out of the waves of the current sheet. The transition from a wave to a dip can create stormy space weather around Earth, NASA officials said.

“The sun’s polar magnetic fields weaken, go to zero, and then emerge again with the opposite polarity,” Stanford solar physicist Phil Scherrer said in a statement. “This is a regular part of the solar cycle.”

While the polarity shift can stir up some stormy weather, it also provides extra shielding from dangerous cosmic rays. These high-energy particles, which are accelerated by events such as supernova explosions, zip through the universe at nearly the speed of light. They can harm satellites and astronauts in space, and the wrinkled current sheet better protects the planet from these particles.

The effects of the rippled sheet can also be felt throughout the solar system, far beyond Pluto and even touching the Voyager probes near the barrier of interstellar space.

“The sun’s north pole has already changed sign, while the south pole is racing to catch up,” Scherrer said. “Soon, however, both poles will be reversed, and the second half of solar max will be under way.”

The current solar maximum is the weakest in 100 years, experts have said. Usually, at the height of a solar cycle, sunspot activity increases. These dark regions on the sun’s surface can give birth to solar flares and ejections, but there have been fewer observed sunspots this year than in the maximums of previous cycles.

Follow Miriam Kramer @mirikramerand Google+. Follow us @Spacedotcom, Facebook and Google+. Original article on Space.com.

Sun’s magnetic field “is about to flip”, warns NASA

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The whole of the sun’s magnetic field is about to “flip”, according to NASA – with warning signs being spotted by observatories around the world this year.

This “flip” happens every 11 years, and coincides with the greatest solar activity in the “cycles” of the sun, known as “Solar Maximum” – with sunspots and “coronal mass ejections” on the surface of the sun.

“It looks like we’re no more than 3 to 4 months away from a complete field reversal,” says solar physicist Todd Hoeksema of Stanford University. “This change will have ripple effects throughout the solar system.”

The effects are so powerful they will be felt beyond Pluto – and may affect phenomena such as cosmic rays, which some believe can alter the climate on Earth.

Scientists have recorded these “flips” for decades, but the process is still not fully understood. This particular “flip” has already puzzled scientists – with one magnetic pole of the sun appearing to flip “too early” last year.

[Related: First lab-grown burger “tastes like cake"]

“Right now, there’s an imbalance between the north and the south poles,” Jonathan Cirtain, a space scientist at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center said last year. “The north is already in transition, well ahead of the south pole, and we don’t understand why.”

The flips, though, are regular. The sun’s magnetic field changes polarity roughly every 11 years – caused by the magnetic dynamo inside the sun reorganising itself.

Magnetograms at Stanford’s Wilcox Solar Observatory – one of the few observatories that track the sun’s magnetic fields – have been tracking the sun’s polar magnetism since 1976, and they have recorded three grand reversals, with a fourth in the offing.

Solar physicist Phil Scherrer, also at Stanford, describes what happens: “The sun’s polar magnetic fields weaken, go to zero, and then emerge again with the opposite polarity. This is a regular part of the solar cycle.”

The sun’s magnetic influence (also known as the “heliosphere”) extends billions of kilometers beyond Pluto – changes to the field’s polarity ripple all the way out to NASA’s Voyager probes, on the doorstep of interstellar space.

When solar physicists talk about solar field reversals, their conversation often centers on the “current sheet.”

The current sheet is a sprawling surface jutting outward from the sun’s equator where the sun’s slowly-rotating magnetic field induces an electrical current.

During field reversals, the current sheet becomes very wavy – Scherrer likens the undulations to the seams on a baseball.  As Earth orbits the sun, we dip in and out of the current sheet. Transitions from one side to another can stir up stormy space weather around our planet.

Cosmic rays are also affected. These are high-energy particles accelerated to nearly light speed by supernova explosions and other violent events in the galaxy.

Cosmic rays are a danger to astronauts and space probes, and some researchers say they might affect the cloudiness and climate of Earth.

The current sheet acts as a barrier to cosmic rays, deflecting them as they attempt to penetrate the inner solar system. A wavy, crinkly sheet acts as a better shield against these energetic particles from deep space.

As the field reversal approaches, data from Wilcox show that the sun’s two hemispheres are out of synch.

“The sun’s north pole has already changed sign, while the south pole is racing to catch up,” says Scherrer. “Soon, however, both poles will be reversed, and the second half of Solar Max will be underway.”

Met Office mines big data to predict solar storms

solar-flare-activity

Power-outages and infrastructure damage caused by anomalous materials from outer-space sound like science-fiction, but it’s very much science fact. Space weather including solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CME) – balls of plasma released into space by the sun – can have unforeseen consequences on earth.

Perhaps the most famous instance of this occurred in March 1989 when parts of Quebec, Canada were plunged into darkness after a solar storm knocked out the area’s electric power grid. It’s therefore no surprise that space weather is listed by the government as a hazard on the National Risk Register of Civil Emergencies, given the potential threat to power systems, satellites and communications.

The government has handed responsibility for developing astronomical weather predictive capabilities to the Met Office, which has worked alongside NASA and the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to develop a UK-centric warning system. It went live in March this year, and crunches colossal amounts of data to assess potential impacts to earth.

“We’re sharing image and satellite data we’re taking from NASA and NOAA, so we’re getting data feeds from them almost every minute,” James Tomkins, Met Office Portfolio Technical Lead, told Computing.

“Then we’re presenting that information to our forecasters as near to real-time as we can so they’re able to see what’s happening on the surface of the sun, and able to identify patterns of solar activity that indicate that we may need to issue an alert,” Tomkins continued.

“If they detect a CME occurring they are able to kick-off our predictive model, which gives an indication of impacts on the earth.”

All of that data, including images of the sun, satellite readings and predictive model outputs, is stored in a MongoDB database, which as set up in a dedicated data centre in a matter of months.

“Last year, a lot of time was spent building capability within the office, especially among our forecasters, who have operational collaboration with forecasters in the US,” said Tomkins. “In terms of developing this [MongoDB] system, we only started at Christmas and were able to deliver an operational service in March.”

The Met Office initially trialled the monitoring service with its own data centre solution, but quickly realised it wasn’t able to cope.

“We’d done a pilot of the system when we were looking at that initial capability using our traditional web stack with a relational database management system at the backend and a caching layer behind our web interface. We ran into all kinds of trouble with performance on that in terms of caching the volume of images we were getting and the speed at which we were able to deliver that to our forecasters,” said Tomkins.

06 Aug 2013 0 Comments

solar-flare-activity

To solve these issues, Tomkins and his team looked into a variety of NoSQL databases.

“MongoDB represented the easiest transition for us because we have a lot of traditional database developers who understand relational models and how to develop against those. They provided the easiest migration path with similar concepts, good support and documentation,” Tomkins explained.

“It offered us that speed of development as well as the performance improvements we were looking for,” he added.

MongoDB’s ease of development and maintenance was another key attraction for the Met Office.

“Often data will come in a variety of formats and we’ll end up writing a lot of bespoke code to store it and then we’ll write a lot of bespoke code to pull it out and that adds to the burden of development and maintenance,” said Tomkins.

“But using MongoDB and other open source technologies, like Apache Camel, we’ve been able to take data from our providers, store it in MongoDB and serve it out,” he continued, adding coding is almost a thing of the past.

“With ingestion we’ve largely written no code at all, we’ve been able to do it entirely using configuration of Camel and MongoDB, and because of the intuitive way the data is stored, serving that data out is very simple.

“We’ve seen a massive reduction in the amount of code we’ve had to write and therefore the speed at which we can develop solutions.”

The astronomical weather prediction project marks the Met Office’s first use of NoSQL, and Tomkins believes it’ll provide benefits across the whole weather service.

“This is our first foray into the world of NoSQL and it’s been a good experience so far and we’re now looking at where else that can add value in the organisation,” he concluded.

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